NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	6.2 [619]		MVP	Tony Delk (ATL): +17.6%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	1.8 [338]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -26.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.03	0.04	25	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	14	79%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.13	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	62%	0.07	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.10	0.02	9	72%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.08	0.04	16	72%	0.08	5	-0.16	11	82%	0.03
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.12	0.02	16	50%	-0.09	7	-0.18	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.7	28.0	16.7	27.3	0.2	35.5	131.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +0.7%

CLE +22.2%

CLE +8.8%

CLE +9.8%

CLE +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	15.5	115.6	107.4	104.0
season	16.2	15.6		104.6	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.3		108.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.7	15.3	14.5	15.5	15.7
ATL	13.6	13.5	16.1	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	92	91	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	15.9	11.7	4.16	14.6	10.5	4.08
Jeff McInnis	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	0	9	15.3	17.4	-2.16	13.8	16.5	-2.71
Eric Snow	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	2	5	15.7	15.7	0.01	14.3	14.5	-0.17
Robert Traylor	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	5	-1	14.1	17.1	-3.02	14.7	14.2	0.54
Anderson Varejao	42	39	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.23	2	7	-5	15.3	16.1	-0.76	14.9	14.0	0.91
Drew Gooden	51	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	4	1	16.5	14.9	1.64	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	53	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	4	1	17.1	14.1	3.02	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Lucious Harris	27	25	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	7	-5	16.2	15.6	0.67	14.3	14.5	-0.18
Ira Newble	46	46	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	6	-3	15.4	16.0	-0.63	14.8	14.0	0.85

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	36	35	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.10	11	-20	31	13.1	15.2	-2.09	17.3	14.9	2.39
Kevin Willis	19	21	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-13	17	14.2	14.5	-0.32	14.9	16.0	-1.07
Josh Childress	56	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-13	17	14.0	15.0	-1.04	14.9	17.1	-2.14
Royal Ivey	22	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-7	5	12.1	15.1	-3.02	16.2	15.6	0.68
Kenny Anderson	8	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-6	3	13.5	14.5	-0.99	16.3	15.7	0.59
Josh Smith	40	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-5	1	14.5	14.4	0.11	17.4	14.7	2.68
Tony Delk	40	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	14.6	14.3	0.33	14.8	16.5	-1.72
Tyronn Lue	58	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	14.8	13.7	1.12	15.5	16.2	-0.73
Al Harrington	85	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	14.3	15.2	-0.88	15.8	15.3	0.45
Jason Collier	26	26	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.04	-19	10	-29	17.6	13.2	4.36	15.2	15.9	-0.75
Antoine Walker	85	85	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.19	-15	6	-21	14.7	12.0	2.69	15.8	15.4	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
PHX 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%
SAC 114, NOP 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.02,0.03,0,0	92.9%