NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	129		Excitement	2.5 [1251]		MVP	Trevelin Queen (ORL): +17.1%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	1.6 [450]		LVP	Obi Toppin (IND): -6.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevelin Queen	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.27	0.01	0.11	11	104%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Black	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.05	16	60%	0.12	5	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Caleb Houstan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	5	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Jett Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	63%	0.06	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	63%	0.01	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Tristan da Silva	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	65%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	11	65%	0.07	5	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	6	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Enrique Freeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.12	0.00	0.14	10	63%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.03
RayJ Dennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	56%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	17	43%	-0.02	5	-0.04	13	69%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.4	29.4	15.3	31.6	2.5	28.5	139.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +39.9%

ORL +3.5%

ORL +5.7%

ORL +1.6%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	13.3	13.9	14.4	120.6	109.5	113.0
season	15.4	13.9		108.3	114.9
opponent	14.7	14.4		112.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	12.3	12.2	15.8	13.3
IND	14.5	15.4	12.7	13.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevelin Queen	66	64	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.15	13	1	12	13.0	13.7	-0.64	14.3	13.3	0.97
Goga Bitadze	53	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.58	37	-23	60	12.7	13.9	-1.25	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Caleb Houstan	70	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	-7	28	13.6	12.7	0.94	12.8	15.9	-3.11
Anthony Black	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	-8	30	13.3	13.2	0.08	13.2	15.3	-2.06
Jett Howard	65	64	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	4	6	12.6	14.4	-1.76	14.9	12.4	2.49
Tristan da Silva	75	74	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	17	-20	13.8	12.1	1.71	13.9	13.7	0.20
Gary Harris	39	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	10	-6	13.5	13.1	0.39	13.2	14.3	-1.02
Cory Joseph	15	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	13	-12	13.4	13.3	0.13	14.1	13.8	0.30
Jonathan Isaac	41	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.37	-13	27	-40	12.9	13.5	-0.59	15.6	12.9	2.71
Cole Anthony	42	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.58	-22	36	-58	14.1	12.8	1.37	14.3	13.6	0.63

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enrique Freeman	24	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-19	24	12.1	14.4	-2.28	13.6	13.2	0.35
Quenton Jackson	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-4	-6	14.2	13.7	0.51	11.5	14.6	-3.15
Tony Bradley	52	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-18	22	14.5	13.3	1.18	12.9	13.7	-0.75
T.J. McConnell	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.23	-15	1	-16	14.5	13.4	1.02	13.8	12.9	0.86
RayJ Dennis	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-17	20	13.8	13.9	-0.09	15.0	12.4	2.58
Jarace Walker	71	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-5	-4	14.2	13.3	0.87	13.9	11.8	2.08
Thomas Bryant	44	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.37	-23	9	-32	14.1	13.7	0.35	12.9	13.6	-0.71
Obi Toppin	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	1	-16	13.6	14.2	-0.60	13.1	13.4	-0.36
Johnny Furphy	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-12	10	13.9	13.8	0.09	13.1	13.6	-0.55
Bennedict Mathurin	92	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	-6	-2	13.4	17.1	-3.64	13.4	12.8	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 112, ATL 78	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
TOR 122, NOP 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MIL 130, PHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%