NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Excitement	9.6 [111]		MVP	Sam Merrill (CLE): +34.7%
Indiana Pacers	114		Comeback	6.7 [402]		LVP	Jaylon Tyson (CLE): -33.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Merrill	0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.14	0.22	0.01	9	83%	0.35	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	19	57%	0.20	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ty Jerome	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.01	16	71%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dean Wade	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Javonte Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03	0.07	-0.10	0.00	11	57%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	17	44%	0.09	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylon Tyson	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.33	-0.06	-0.27	0.00	4	0%	-0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.18	0.00	7	107%	0.38	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.15	-0.03	16	64%	0.30	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.06
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	14	65%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	14	46%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.05	0.02	9	57%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	43%	0.02	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	8	12%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.7	23.5	16.5	27.5	3.5	38.2	140.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +27.5%

IND +12.2%

IND +9.0%

IND +7.3%

CLE -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	13.4	15.3	14.4	109.8	115.2	113.1
season	13.7	13.8		120.5	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.9		112.9	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.1	12.5	12.8	14.3	13.4
IND	13.6	15.8	15.4	16.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Andre Hunter	68	69	0.64	-1.14	1.79	0.12	18	-20	38	13.0	14.2	-1.15	15.4	15.1	0.30
Dean Wade	62	60	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.25	6	-8	14	13.2	13.7	-0.43	15.6	14.8	0.79
Ty Jerome	56	55	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.01	13	-15	28	13.1	13.8	-0.68	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Sam Merrill	62	61	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	0	-2	13.5	13.3	0.10	15.0	15.8	-0.84
Jarrett Allen	35	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	1	-4	14.1	13.0	1.07	13.9	16.0	-2.03
Isaac Okoro	66	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.53	-1	-1	0	13.2	13.8	-0.57	15.3	15.3	0.02
Javonte Green	46	43	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.39	-14	12	-26	13.6	13.2	0.36	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Tristan Thompson	40	39	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.67	-5	3	-8	13.4	13.4	0.02	16.4	14.6	1.79
Jaylon Tyson	17	14	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.56	-9	7	-16	14.8	13.1	1.69	16.9	15.0	1.85
Craig Porter Jr.	58	56	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.61	-13	11	-24	13.5	13.3	0.24	15.1	15.5	-0.34

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Haliburton	72	73	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.38	15	-13	28	14.8	16.4	-1.56	14.3	11.1	3.18
Myles Turner	64	67	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.47	9	-7	16	14.9	16.0	-1.17	14.2	12.0	2.19
Andrew Nembhard	58	60	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.50	6	-4	10	14.7	16.0	-1.28	14.3	12.2	2.12
Pascal Siakam	67	69	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.48	4	-2	6	15.9	13.9	2.07	13.1	14.1	-0.96
Aaron Nesmith	60	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-2	6	15.5	15.0	0.49	14.2	12.2	2.00
Jarace Walker	32	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.17	-8	10	-18	16.0	14.9	1.07	12.0	14.1	-2.12
T.J. McConnell	33	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	4	-6	15.5	15.1	0.41	12.2	14.0	-1.81
Thomas Bryant	17	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	9	-16	16.2	15.1	1.09	11.6	13.8	-2.19
Obi Toppin	41	42	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.14	-3	5	-8	14.7	15.7	-1.05	13.1	13.6	-0.50
Bennedict Mathurin	51	51	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.05	-8	10	-18	15.5	15.1	0.37	12.2	14.6	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.89,0.94,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.46,0.34,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.98,1	90.2%
MIL 86, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.18,0.47,0.72,0.84,0.99,1	90.1%
DET 86, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.4,0.33,0.64,0.91,0.98,1	90.0%