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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 124 Excitement5.7 [679] MVPMichael Porter Jr. (DEN): +23.3%
Sacramento Kings 116 Comeback1.1 [931] LVPRussell Westbrook (DEN): -13.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.140.100.011466%0.2300.00475%-0.00
Christian Braun0.200,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.230.020.061286%0.2000.00580%-0.01
Aaron Gordon0.150,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.080.07-0.011662%0.171-0.022100%0.01
Jalen Pickett0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.150.140.040.031082%0.161-0.02250%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.040.001259%0.131-0.0310100%0.04
Peyton Watson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.01564%0.051-0.001100%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00360%0.0300.00450%-0.02
Julian Strawther-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.00312%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Russell Westbrook-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.00-0.011122%-0.083-0.061100%0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keon Ellis0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.160.160.160.050.041283%0.191-0.0300%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.13-0.000.03981%0.131-0.033100%0.01
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.000.00590%0.0900.0000%0.00
Zach LaVine0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.060.060.060.020.022061%0.134-0.07475%0.00
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.010.041062%0.0200.001100%0.00
Isaac Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00440%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.032637%-0.041-0.03786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.828.114.729.03.038.0141.8
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +30.3%
DEN +5.8%
DEN +8.3%
DEN +6.2%
SAC -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSACNBADENSACNBA
this game14.615.914.4129.2124.7113.1
season14.214.3117.1115.1
opponent14.614.5114.9114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN11.514.216.816.214.6
SAC18.514.115.915.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Braun68670.64-0.140.770.0520-123215.213.12.1817.013.04.05
Aaron Gordon66650.56-0.060.620.0916-82415.213.31.9617.013.33.66
Jalen Pickett58570.53-0.030.550.1712-41615.712.92.7616.614.71.89
Nikola Jokic73710.470.030.440.219-11014.515.0-0.4516.812.84.07
Michael Porter Jr.73720.360.140.230.2253214.515.1-0.6215.517.3-1.81
Peyton Watson53490.080.42-0.350.22-513-1814.115.3-1.2515.016.8-1.82
DeAndre Jordan23220.030.47-0.440.06-19-1015.014.50.4512.816.8-4.07
Russell Westbrook3836-0.030.53-0.550.09-412-1612.915.7-2.7614.716.6-1.89
Julian Strawther2826-0.140.64-0.770.22-1220-3213.115.2-2.1813.017.0-4.05

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaac Jones13140.03-0.530.56-0.032-101212.616.4-3.8013.914.7-0.89
Doug McDermott31330.02-0.520.53-0.166-142013.617.0-3.4013.715.1-1.35
Devin Carter3639-0.01-0.490.49-0.186-142013.817.2-3.3914.414.7-0.30
Jonas Valanciunas1819-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-3-218.015.42.6311.415.4-3.98
Domantas Sabonis7577-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.29-3-5215.418.0-2.6315.411.43.98
Zach LaVine8385-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.22-80-816.113.72.4414.912.32.64
Trey Lyles7173-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.21-91-1016.812.84.0714.515.0-0.45
Keon Ellis6363-0.510.01-0.52-0.13-135-1816.614.32.3314.814.20.66
DeMar DeRozan7577-0.610.11-0.71-0.14-168-2416.513.13.4414.813.80.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 97, GSW 900.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,094.8%
GSW 123, MIA 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.07,0,0,094.3%
DET 107, DAL 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,094.3%