NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	4.9 [849]		MVP	Trendon Watford (BKN): +21.9%
Brooklyn Nets	119		Comeback	1.9 [620]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (NOP): -10.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keion Brooks Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	6	82%	0.11	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karlo Matkovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Yves Missi	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Kelly Olynyk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	44%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Antonio Reeves	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.05	14	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Jamal Cain	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.01	0.10	8	94%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lester Quinones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	11	57%	0.04	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	30%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trendon Watford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.05	-0.01	8	100%	0.28	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Drew Timme	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.02	10	70%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Dariq Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.00	9	78%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Tyson Etienne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tosan Evbuomwan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	8	62%	0.02	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Maxwell Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	13	43%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Reece Beekman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	25.2	14.4	31.4	2.4	29.7	131.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +40.4%

NOP -1.4%

BKN +0.7%

BKN +9.2%

BKN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	BKN	NBA	NOP	BKN	NBA
this game	14.4	13.6	14.4	110.7	115.5	113.0
season	14.4	15.3		109.3	107.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		114.9	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.3	16.0	12.9	13.4	14.4
BKN	12.4	14.6	12.8	14.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keion Brooks Jr.	51	50	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-13	21	13.8	14.9	-1.18	13.9	13.3	0.58
Lester Quinones	39	39	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-12	19	14.5	14.3	0.25	15.2	12.6	2.62
Karlo Matkovic	59	59	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.49	18	-23	41	13.1	16.0	-2.94	13.6	13.6	-0.02
Elfrid Payton	53	53	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.39	14	-19	33	13.2	15.6	-2.41	13.8	13.4	0.31
Jamal Cain	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-15	25	14.7	14.2	0.50	14.6	13.1	1.56
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-10	15	12.8	15.4	-2.62	13.6	13.6	-0.05
Antonio Reeves	63	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-6	7	14.2	14.6	-0.48	13.4	14.0	-0.63
Yves Missi	39	38	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.09	-21	16	-37	16.1	13.3	2.85	13.1	13.9	-0.87
Bruce Brown	42	40	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.09	-21	16	-37	15.7	13.5	2.21	12.9	14.1	-1.19
Kelly Olynyk	45	46	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.03	-21	16	-37	15.8	13.2	2.64	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Jose Alvarado	49	49	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.04	-25	20	-45	15.1	13.7	1.38	12.8	14.3	-1.54

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reece Beekman	65	66	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.21	14	-9	23	13.5	13.8	-0.38	14.7	13.7	0.98
Trendon Watford	47	48	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.07	23	-18	41	13.2	13.9	-0.68	15.5	13.3	2.18
Jalen Wilson	44	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	-3	11	14.7	12.8	1.96	15.0	13.9	1.06
Nic Claxton	35	36	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-6	17	14.3	13.2	1.08	14.9	14.0	0.90
Ziaire Williams	35	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-5	15	14.3	13.2	1.08	14.9	14.0	0.90
Dariq Whitehead	53	52	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	-3	11	12.8	14.5	-1.75	14.7	14.0	0.71
Drew Timme	64	63	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.41	-8	13	-21	13.0	14.5	-1.47	14.0	14.9	-0.84
Maxwell Lewis	61	60	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.38	-12	17	-29	13.4	13.9	-0.47	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Tosan Evbuomwan	53	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.36	-13	18	-31	14.2	13.0	1.13	13.1	15.6	-2.50
Tyson Etienne	58	58	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.44	-16	21	-37	13.4	13.8	-0.39	13.2	15.8	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.6,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 85, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.94,0.96,1	94.5%
NYK 71, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIA 81, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%