NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	120		Excitement	8.2 [261]		MVP	Zach LaVine (SAC): +61.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	2.7 [150]		LVP	Malik Monk (SAC): -14.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.61	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.6,0.61	0.30	0.32	0.01	21	88%	0.67	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31	0.16	0.16	0.01	18	64%	0.31	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Keon Ellis	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	7	79%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	44%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.09	-0.09	0.03	15	79%	0.27	7	-0.31	4	100%	0.03
Isaac Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	8	36%	-0.03	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.17	-0.00	13	74%	0.35	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Max Strus	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.13	0.02	6	79%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	14	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.09	-0.02	16	49%	0.06	3	-0.12	7	57%	-0.02
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	13	35%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.14	0.03	9	77%	0.14	4	-0.26	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	24.1	0.3	29.1	2.4	35.6	122.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +41.6%

SAC +7.4%

CLE -4.6%

SAC +3.2%

SAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	12.9	14.4	122.4	114.1	113.1
season	14.3	13.7		115.1	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.6		110.9	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	15.6	17.2	18.8	16.3
CLE	13.7	13.2	13.4	11.5	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	80	81	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.22	25	-18	43	16.4	16.1	0.33	13.2	11.6	1.68
Trey Lyles	80	83	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-8	23	16.3	16.4	-0.08	13.5	10.2	3.27
Keon Ellis	78	80	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	5	-3	16.8	14.3	2.55	13.3	11.3	2.06
Domantas Sabonis	79	81	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	5	-3	16.6	15.3	1.25	13.2	11.9	1.27
Zach LaVine	86	87	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	11	-15	16.6	14.2	2.37	12.9	13.3	-0.46
Malik Monk	44	44	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	4	-1	15.2	17.2	-2.04	12.2	13.5	-1.35
Devin Carter	17	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	7	-7	14.6	16.7	-2.10	10.9	13.3	-2.35
Isaac Jones	14	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	12	-17	15.5	16.5	-0.96	9.9	13.3	-3.43
Jonas Valanciunas	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	10	-13	16.5	16.3	0.20	11.7	13.1	-1.44

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	37	36	0.61	-1.11	1.72	0.02	20	-27	47	12.1	13.5	-1.40	17.6	15.6	2.07
Dean Wade	7	7	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-13	19	15.3	12.7	2.54	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Max Strus	56	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-13	19	13.6	12.0	1.56	17.8	14.5	3.36
Sam Merrill	35	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-3	-1	11.6	13.7	-2.10	14.6	17.3	-2.70
Evan Mobley	70	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-3	-1	12.1	14.8	-2.68	16.2	16.7	-0.47
Donovan Mitchell	70	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	12.0	15.2	-3.27	16.6	15.6	1.05
Ty Jerome	48	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	4	-15	12.7	13.2	-0.51	15.3	17.4	-2.10
Jarrett Allen	63	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	0	-7	13.8	11.3	2.51	17.0	15.2	1.78
Darius Garland	64	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.31	-9	2	-11	13.7	11.6	2.06	17.0	15.2	1.78
De'Andre Hunter	45	46	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.05	-28	21	-49	14.2	11.9	2.29	14.1	18.3	-4.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 102, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.53,0.32,0.41,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.04,0	90.4%
BOS 102, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.71,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.22,0.31,0.16,0	90.2%
CHI 94, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.04,0	89.8%