NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	7.5 [359]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +57.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	1.6 [1026]		LVP	Naz Reid (MIN): -19.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.57	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.45,0.57	0.24	0.36	0.02	21	74%	0.64	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.30	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3	0.18	0.12	0.00	11	88%	0.31	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	72%	0.17	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	48%	0.06	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Conley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	14%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	10	41%	-0.03	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.09	0.02	18	74%	0.29	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.01	15	56%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Bagley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Hood-Schifino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	39%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Colin Castleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	27.7	14.0	28.0	1.8	42.5	140.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +56.6%

MIN +4.9%

MIN +3.5%

PHI -17.2%

MIN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	14.4	120.0	114.7	113.1
season	14.7	15.0		115.4	110.4
opponent	14.2	14.6		116.8	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.0	16.0	14.0	14.9	14.7
PHI	15.4	16.0	15.4	15.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	51	50	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.30	17	-12	29	14.5	14.9	-0.44	15.4	15.9	-0.55
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	53	53	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.31	14	-9	23	14.3	15.2	-0.89	15.9	15.2	0.69
Rudy Gobert	69	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-5	15	15.5	12.7	2.81	15.7	15.4	0.35
Naz Reid	55	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-6	17	13.6	16.1	-2.51	16.1	15.0	1.05
Anthony Edwards	76	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	9	-13	14.7	14.7	0.01	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Jaylen Clark	19	20	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.07	9	-4	13	14.7	14.7	-0.01	16.0	15.5	0.48
Julius Randle	65	66	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.30	-11	16	-27	15.0	14.1	0.87	15.2	16.7	-1.54
Donte DiVincenzo	38	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	8	-11	13.7	15.3	-1.60	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Jaden McDaniels	49	49	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.08	-18	23	-41	15.8	13.5	2.32	15.6	15.6	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Butler	62	63	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.29	15	-20	35	15.0	16.8	-1.74	15.6	12.9	2.74
Ricky Council IV	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-3	1	11.8	15.9	-4.04	14.3	14.7	-0.39
Guerschon Yabusele	74	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.35	9	-14	23	14.9	18.3	-3.42	15.1	13.4	1.69
Justin Edwards	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	1	-7	16.2	15.4	0.79	14.3	14.8	-0.49
Adem Bona	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-2	-1	15.6	15.7	-0.12	15.9	13.4	2.51
Quentin Grimes	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-4	3	15.8	15.0	0.89	14.9	14.0	0.99
Colin Castleton	31	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	4	-13	15.6	15.6	-0.01	12.7	15.7	-2.98
Marcus Bagley	42	41	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	6	-17	16.3	15.1	1.15	14.6	14.8	-0.24
Lonnie Walker IV	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-3	1	15.9	14.6	1.35	14.4	15.7	-1.25
Jalen Hood-Schifino	45	44	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.07	-15	10	-25	16.5	14.8	1.73	13.2	15.9	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.38,0.19,0.2,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 93, CHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.0%
ORL 130, WAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0	92.8%
DET 93, ATL 80	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.4,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0	92.5%