NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	109		Excitement	8.2 [258]		MVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): +38.7%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.6 [607]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -13.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0.39	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.39	0.25	0.17	0.03	23	76%	0.42	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Cam Spencer	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	23	47%	0.12	2	-0.06	11	73%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.09	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Zach Edey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	0.00	8	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Luke Kennard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	8	35%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jay Huff	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	62%	0.11	6	-0.20	4	75%	0.01
GG Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	9	75%	0.20	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	73%	0.19	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.04	16	34%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.06	8	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	10	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	24	45%	-0.08	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	26.3	15.4	26.3	2.8	46.5	143.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.6%

MEM +9.7%

MEM +34.9%

DET -21.2%

MEM +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DET	NBA	MEM	DET	NBA
this game	13.5	14.1	14.4	103.8	99.0	113.1
season	13.3	14.1		116.5	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.2	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.8	14.3	13.2	12.8	13.5
DET	15.6	14.5	14.5	12.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Edey	75	76	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.29	17	-11	28	13.3	14.0	-0.65	13.7	15.1	-1.48
Scotty Pippen Jr.	64	63	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.32	16	-10	26	13.6	13.4	0.15	14.0	14.1	-0.03
Jaylen Wells	85	85	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.30	15	-9	24	13.1	15.2	-2.09	14.1	13.7	0.39
Jaren Jackson Jr.	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-5	16	13.0	14.9	-1.81	14.1	13.9	0.23
Desmond Bane	85	85	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	3	0	13.4	13.9	-0.55	13.5	16.7	-3.28
Cam Spencer	11	11	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	2	2	13.1	13.6	-0.46	15.6	13.9	1.77
Jay Huff	13	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	7	-8	15.3	13.2	2.06	13.7	14.1	-0.37
GG Jackson	24	22	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	16	-26	15.1	13.0	2.10	13.9	14.1	-0.19
Luke Kennard	50	49	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	17	-28	13.7	13.3	0.37	14.8	13.4	1.32
Santi Aldama	50	49	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.16	-17	23	-40	14.2	12.9	1.29	14.6	13.6	0.93

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Simone Fontecchio	32	33	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-11	16	15.0	13.7	1.32	14.3	13.1	1.16
Paul Reed	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-7	8	16.5	13.4	3.10	13.9	13.4	0.45
Dennis Schroder	66	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-10	14	13.6	14.9	-1.36	13.7	13.1	0.61
Marcus Sasser	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-1	-4	15.0	13.6	1.39	13.3	13.6	-0.28
Ausar Thompson	66	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-3	0	14.6	13.2	1.42	13.3	13.8	-0.45
Cade Cunningham	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-3	0	13.1	15.5	-2.44	13.4	13.6	-0.19
Ronald Holland II	22	21	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	1	-8	15.3	13.7	1.54	13.6	13.5	0.14
Tim Hardaway Jr.	70	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	13.9	14.3	-0.35	13.5	13.5	0.01
Malik Beasley	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	13.9	14.4	-0.55	13.3	14.0	-0.76
Isaiah Stewart	76	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	6	-18	13.3	16.2	-2.95	13.3	14.0	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.15,0.17,0.31,0.21,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.15,0,0.08,0	92.4%
UTA 96, SEA 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	92.0%
CHI 97, LAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.19,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.26,0	91.9%