NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	6.7 [458]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +15.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	84		Comeback	1.7 [542]		LVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): -15.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.09	0.03	22	61%	0.16	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.04
John Crotty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.03	15	56%	0.08	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Danny Manning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	13	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
John Stockton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	8	28%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	17	47%	0.04	5	-0.13	6	50%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	9	63%	0.07	4	-0.15	9	67%	-0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	0.06	9	63%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	55.2	2.6	32.2	15.8	33.0	2.0	30.0	170.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -13.9%

UTA +3.1%

UTA +34.9%

UTA +21.6%

UTA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	18.1	14.5	15.5	109.1	94.4	100.9
season	16.0	15.2		105.3	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.5	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	17.5	15.6	22.7	18.1
SEA	16.2	15.2	13.2	13.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	69	69	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.24	14	-2	16	17.6	19.9	-2.29	14.3	14.9	-0.57
John Stockton	63	63	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-1	14	17.0	20.8	-3.82	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Greg Ostertag	29	29	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	3	6	23.1	15.6	7.46	16.2	13.6	2.64
Karl Malone	71	73	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	1	10	16.7	24.0	-7.31	13.3	19.6	-6.22
Bryon Russell	44	46	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	7	-2	21.2	15.0	6.20	14.3	14.6	-0.32
Olden Polynice	47	47	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	3	6	15.8	20.7	-4.92	14.9	13.9	1.01
John Starks	61	62	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	10	-8	16.3	22.1	-5.73	13.3	17.1	-3.86
Danny Manning	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	14	-16	22.7	16.7	5.95	18.2	13.4	4.82
Scott Padgett	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	12	-12	10.7	18.5	-7.70	8.0	14.8	-6.76
John Crotty	7	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	12	-12	18.9	18.0	0.82	22.3	13.9	8.44
Jacque Vaughn	25	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.11	-1	13	-14	20.8	17.0	3.82	15.7	13.9	1.79

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	60	60	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-16	20	13.5	16.5	-3.00	18.1	18.0	0.15
Emanual Davis	24	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-10	8	15.6	14.0	1.54	21.6	16.9	4.69
Desmond Mason	19	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-14	16	13.7	14.7	-0.92	22.7	16.9	5.81
Olumide Oyedeji	4	4	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-10	8	19.0	14.2	4.75	29.5	17.6	11.94
Shammond Williams	20	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-12	12	13.8	14.7	-0.85	21.6	17.0	4.62
Brent Barry	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	14.3	14.7	-0.43	15.5	23.2	-7.73
Vin Baker	37	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	4	-20	18.1	11.9	6.15	16.7	19.1	-2.43
Gary Payton	82	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	13.8	21.9	-8.03	17.7	21.2	-3.48
Patrick Ewing	71	71	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	1	-14	14.0	16.4	-2.42	17.7	19.8	-2.13
Rashard Lewis	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	1	-14	14.5	14.3	0.18	17.8	19.4	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, DEN 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.9%
LAC 93, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.15,0,0.08,0	92.3%
POR 101, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.25,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.2%