NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	6.6 [545]		MVP	Collin Sexton (UTA): +20.9%
Indiana Pacers	140		Comeback	4.7 [961]		LVP	Kyle Filipowski (UTA): -17.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.05	0.01	15	67%	0.21	1	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Micah Potter	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	4	112%	0.15	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	14	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	-0.02	-0.07	18	47%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	13	35%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	15	42%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	15	26%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	13	61%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	16	61%	0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.05	0.07	17	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	7	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	7	86%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	7	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	11	53%	0.06	1	-0.01	16	75%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RayJ Dennis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	3	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	29.3	14.4	30.0	2.0	30.3	132.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +55.5%

UTA -2.4%

UTA -16.6%

IND +10.7%

IND +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	12.4	14.4	108.7	137.3	113.0
season	14.8	13.9		109.6	114.9
opponent	14.7	13.7		112.8	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.0	16.6	17.0	15.5	15.7
IND	12.7	13.4	11.8	11.6	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Sensabaugh	55	54	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	-25	22	15.2	16.3	-1.09	12.2	12.5	-0.24
Johnny Juzang	78	78	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.45	-18	-10	-8	15.5	16.4	-0.89	12.1	13.0	-0.90
Isaiah Collier	72	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.49	-20	-8	-12	15.4	16.5	-1.13	12.1	13.0	-0.96
Micah Potter	53	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.20	-12	-16	4	15.5	16.0	-0.49	12.3	12.4	-0.10
Keyonte George	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.30	-22	-6	-16	15.7	15.7	0.01	12.7	11.7	1.02
Kyle Filipowski	50	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-12	-4	16.0	15.5	0.49	12.4	12.3	0.10
Jaden Springer	31	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-20	12	16.5	15.4	1.13	13.0	12.1	0.96
Svi Mykhailiuk	37	36	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	-14	0	16.9	15.1	1.77	12.9	12.0	0.87
Collin Sexton	72	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.18	-27	-1	-26	15.8	15.6	0.12	12.1	13.0	-0.98

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	59	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	12	4	12.4	12.3	0.13	16.4	14.7	1.70
Obi Toppin	38	38	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	16	-4	12.5	12.2	0.28	17.3	14.8	2.47
Aaron Nesmith	45	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.08	14	14	0	11.4	13.1	-1.75	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Bennedict Mathurin	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	20	-12	13.2	11.6	1.66	15.8	15.7	0.08
T.J. McConnell	42	43	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.11	13	15	-2	13.1	11.8	1.30	14.7	16.4	-1.73
Andrew Nembhard	56	56	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	22	-16	12.2	12.6	-0.39	16.3	15.1	1.18
Ben Sheppard	42	43	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.38	20	8	12	13.0	11.9	1.18	15.1	16.2	-1.13
Tyrese Haliburton	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	23	-18	12.1	12.7	-0.62	16.3	14.9	1.43
Myles Turner	61	60	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.05	3	25	-22	12.4	12.3	0.02	14.6	17.3	-2.62
Jarace Walker	31	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.44	16	12	4	11.9	12.5	-0.65	14.7	16.2	-1.46
Johnny Furphy	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.38	13	15	-2	7.4	12.6	-5.21	19.7	15.5	4.18
Tony Bradley	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	19	-10	6.7	12.6	-5.83	19.0	15.6	3.40
RayJ Dennis	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	19	-10	6.7	12.6	-5.83	19.0	15.6	3.40
Thomas Bryant	17	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	32	-36	14.6	11.9	2.75	14.2	16.0	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.35,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
SEA 99, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
PHX 119, BKN 128	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.8%