inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 124 Excitement4.9 [859] MVPKyle Anderson (MIA): +20.8%
Boston Celtics 103 Comeback1.2 [249] LVPJayson Tatum (BOS): -11.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Anderson0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.110.08-0.011173%0.231-0.024100%0.03
Bam Adebayo0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.030.031568%0.1400.001100%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.01-0.03862%0.0900.0000%0.00
Alec Burks0.070,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.010.04591%0.0700.001100%0.00
Davion Mitchell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.031065%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Herro0.050,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.040.061854%0.0500.001090%0.02
Kel'el Ware0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.030.00550%0.0500.00475%0.00
Pelle Larsson0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.08-0.010.07964%0.031-0.02786%0.01
Josh Christopher0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021150%0.0010.0000%0.00
Isaiah Stevens0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keshad Johnson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Neemias Queta0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.040.023100%0.1000.001100%0.01
Luke Kornet0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.010.03978%0.0800.0000%0.00
Baylor Scheierman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.02-0.03350%0.0600.0000%0.00
Payton Pritchard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.01956%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jaylen Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.010.052056%0.073-0.07367%-0.00
Sam Hauser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.000.03560%0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Walsh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.0010.0000%0.00
JD Davison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04250%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Derrick White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.011159%0.044-0.09580%0.03
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.011739%-0.052-0.06786%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.429.615.626.91.724.7125.1
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +33.3%
MIA +9.4%
BOS -12.4%
MIA +16.6%
MIA +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game16.517.014.4144.2119.8113.0
season15.015.3111.5118.3
opponent14.614.6109.2112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA18.215.615.916.716.5
BOS18.815.717.616.017.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Davion Mitchell58590.51-0.010.53-0.102102117.015.51.4617.016.90.11
Kyle Anderson44460.51-0.010.520.011741315.917.2-1.3015.418.8-3.38
Tyler Herro71710.51-0.010.51-0.051921716.317.4-1.0616.220.5-4.32
Bam Adebayo54530.320.180.14-0.06138517.015.71.2318.215.03.19
Pelle Larsson55560.310.190.12-0.07138516.117.2-1.0516.917.2-0.31
Haywood Highsmith44440.300.200.10-0.08138516.616.40.1917.716.21.56
Kel'el Ware59570.210.29-0.090.00714-716.915.71.1416.517.9-1.41
Josh Christopher330.000.50-0.50-0.09318-1512.016.7-4.6918.316.91.42
Isaiah Stevens330.000.50-0.50-0.09318-1512.016.7-4.6918.316.91.42
Keshad Johnson330.000.50-0.50-0.09318-1512.016.7-4.6918.316.91.42
Jaime Jaquez Jr.330.000.50-0.50-0.09318-1512.016.7-4.6918.316.91.42
Alec Burks3332-0.160.66-0.830.13-1031-4117.715.81.9018.316.22.10

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Walsh89-0.00-0.500.490.17-6-15917.916.91.0016.716.50.16
Drew Peterson89-0.00-0.500.490.17-6-15917.916.91.0016.716.50.16
JD Davison89-0.00-0.500.490.17-6-15917.916.91.0016.716.50.16
Luke Kornet3537-0.12-0.380.27-0.213-242718.815.73.1417.515.81.74
Baylor Scheierman2729-0.13-0.370.230.10-8-13516.717.1-0.3817.216.21.03
Jaylen Brown5251-0.14-0.360.21-0.11-1-201918.115.22.9616.816.20.59
Neemias Queta3534-0.22-0.280.060.22-15-6-916.117.5-1.4316.416.6-0.18
Payton Pritchard5857-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.08-7-14715.619.7-4.0816.316.9-0.56
Sam Hauser4847-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-12-9-316.917.1-0.2516.616.50.07
Derrick White5957-0.37-0.13-0.230.01-13-8-517.116.70.3816.217.2-1.03
Jayson Tatum5757-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-11-10-116.917.0-0.1016.416.8-0.41
Torrey Craig3534-0.500.00-0.500.17-232-2516.017.6-1.6315.617.1-1.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 105, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,093.6%
DEN 99, MIA 820.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,093.6%
DAL 92, NJN 750.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.29,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.5%