NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	105		Excitement	5.3 [764]		MVP	Seth Curry (CHA): +17.9%
Indiana Pacers	119		Comeback	1.1 [1277]		LVP	Damion Baugh (CHA): -20.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.02	0.00	7	100%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	10	82%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Moussa Diabate	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	72%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Mark Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	73%	0.08	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Simpson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	0.07	7	57%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damion Baugh	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	-0.00	9	11%	-0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.03	0.05	15	73%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	7	81%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	12	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	8	47%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	10	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	26.2	14.6	27.2	2.4	28.3	125.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.6%

CHA -6.1%

CHA -5.9%

IND +32.0%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	14.6	14.4	109.4	125.3	113.0
season	15.0	13.9		106.2	114.9
opponent	14.7	14.2		112.8	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.4	14.5	16.2	17.9	15.6
IND	12.7	13.2	14.5	19.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	50	47	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.21	11	-25	36	15.3	15.9	-0.57	15.6	13.6	1.93
KJ Simpson	59	58	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-18	22	15.6	15.5	0.05	16.5	11.5	4.98
Moussa Diabate	24	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-11	8	17.2	15.0	2.24	15.7	14.2	1.46
Seth Curry	60	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-10	6	16.2	14.6	1.63	14.9	14.0	0.93
Josh Green	17	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-8	2	15.2	15.6	-0.41	13.9	14.7	-0.85
Jusuf Nurkic	42	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-11	8	14.0	16.8	-2.88	16.0	13.5	2.59
Josh Okogie	28	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-7	0	14.0	16.2	-2.17	12.0	15.6	-3.61
DaQuan Jeffries	48	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-4	-6	14.6	16.5	-1.90	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Mark Williams	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	1	-16	16.7	13.5	3.23	13.8	16.1	-2.24
Damion Baugh	37	37	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.03	-18	4	-22	15.5	15.6	-0.05	11.5	16.5	-4.98
Tidjane Salaun	52	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	5	-24	16.1	14.9	1.23	14.2	15.0	-0.84

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarace Walker	48	48	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.01	21	-7	28	12.7	16.5	-3.74	14.7	16.4	-1.65
T.J. McConnell	41	41	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-4	22	14.3	14.8	-0.55	13.9	16.8	-2.87
Thomas Bryant	41	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	3	8	13.8	15.2	-1.45	13.6	17.2	-3.52
Tyrese Haliburton	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	0	14	13.9	16.3	-2.40	16.2	14.1	2.11
Pascal Siakam	56	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	6	2	14.7	14.4	0.24	15.6	15.5	0.19
Obi Toppin	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	7	0	14.6	14.6	0.01	15.6	15.6	0.02
Ben Sheppard	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	14	-14	16.3	13.9	2.40	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Myles Turner	54	53	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	11	-8	15.2	13.8	1.45	17.2	13.6	3.52
Johnny Furphy	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	12.7	14.6	-1.97	14.0	15.6	-1.62
Andrew Nembhard	54	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	18	-22	14.8	14.3	0.55	16.8	13.9	2.87
Aaron Nesmith	47	49	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	21	-28	16.5	12.7	3.74	16.4	14.7	1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 79, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ORL 89, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
MIL 122, NYK 129	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	93.9%