NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	122		Excitement	5.3 [736]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +21.1%
New York Knicks	129		Comeback	1.3 [495]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (NYK): -6.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	21	63%	0.19	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.03	0.04	24	56%	0.12	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.03
Cameron Payne	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarJon Beauchamp	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	0.01	0.10	20	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.06	0.02	28	58%	0.21	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	10	83%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	69%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	17	60%	0.15	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	14	66%	0.08	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.3	29.6	15.6	36.4	3.4	31.6	144.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.3%

NYK +8.1%

NYK +10.8%

NYK +2.2%

NYK +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	14.5	14.5	122.0	127.7	113.9
season	14.3	15.6		117.0	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.0	114.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.1	14.2	13.7	14.7	14.2
NYK	13.0	14.6	14.0	16.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarJon Beauchamp	12	13	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-11	15	15.2	14.0	1.14	12.5	14.8	-2.33
Andre Jackson Jr.	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-3	-1	14.0	14.2	-0.28	13.9	14.7	-0.85
Cameron Payne	22	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-6	5	15.8	13.7	2.07	12.7	15.0	-2.27
Khris Middleton	69	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.43	9	-16	25	13.7	15.2	-1.54	15.6	12.3	3.26
Brook Lopez	58	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	14.1	14.2	-0.09	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Malik Beasley	38	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	3	-13	14.1	14.2	-0.17	15.8	13.6	2.24
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-2	-3	13.9	15.1	-1.17	15.1	12.0	3.05
Bobby Portis	62	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-4	1	14.5	13.6	0.89	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Damian Lillard	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	13.7	15.8	-2.07	15.0	12.7	2.27
Pat Connaughton	51	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	6	-19	14.8	13.5	1.23	12.9	16.1	-3.26

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	66	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	0	7	13.8	15.7	-1.87	14.5	13.5	1.03
Julius Randle	86	86	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	1	5	14.8	12.7	2.15	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Jalen Brunson	78	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	1	5	14.9	13.0	1.94	13.6	15.9	-2.22
Immanuel Quickley	48	47	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-7	21	13.4	15.5	-2.09	15.2	13.2	2.03
Isaiah Hartenstein	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	4	-1	14.9	13.6	1.32	14.0	14.4	-0.41
Taj Gibson	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	3	1	13.6	14.9	-1.32	14.4	14.0	0.41
RJ Barrett	57	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	13	-19	15.2	13.6	1.64	13.7	14.8	-1.15
Quentin Grimes	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	8	-9	13.6	14.8	-1.24	15.5	13.7	1.76
Donte DiVincenzo	43	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	5	-3	14.9	14.2	0.68	13.6	14.6	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 79, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIA 72, PHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	94.6%
GSW 104, DEN 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%