NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	4.4 [947]		MVP	Landry Shamet (NYK): +19.3%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	1.0 [1290]		LVP	Precious Achiuwa (NYK): -13.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Reese	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Phillip Wheeler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Bagley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	13	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	56%	0.04	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Quentin Grimes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.01	0.11	18	57%	-0.00	3	-0.06	10	90%	-0.01
Jared Butler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	9	28%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.01	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	12	83%	0.19	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	7	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	16	44%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	16	60%	0.11	6	-0.10	13	85%	-0.00
Kevin McCullar Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.20	-0.01	-0.07	11	8%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.3	27.7	15.4	27.7	1.8	24.2	130.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +24.4%

NYK +8.8%

NYK +11.2%

NYK +3.8%

NYK +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.6	15.9	14.4	93.8	107.1	113.0
season	15.0	15.3		110.4	116.0
opponent	14.2	14.2		112.9	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	13.8	13.1	14.2	13.6
NYK	16.6	15.0	16.9	15.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phillip Wheeler	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-16	18	13.2	13.7	-0.57	16.7	15.7	0.94
Jared Butler	49	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-16	18	12.1	15.2	-3.04	16.1	15.7	0.45
Justin Edwards	60	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-12	10	14.1	12.9	1.24	16.8	14.4	2.44
Alex Reese	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-10	6	13.5	13.7	-0.22	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Adem Bona	64	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-4	-6	13.7	13.5	0.22	16.1	15.5	0.62
Quentin Grimes	71	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-11	8	14.1	12.2	1.91	16.6	14.0	2.57
Kyle Lowry	37	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	12.8	14.1	-1.32	14.6	16.6	-2.06
Lonnie Walker IV	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-1	-12	13.9	13.1	0.85	16.6	14.5	2.12
Marcus Bagley	43	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	1	-16	13.5	13.7	-0.21	13.6	17.8	-4.15
Ricky Council IV	45	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	4	-22	14.4	13.0	1.44	15.3	16.5	-1.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.17	23	-9	32	15.6	16.9	-1.27	14.0	12.5	1.51
Landry Shamet	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	3	8	15.3	17.3	-2.01	13.7	13.4	0.36
Tyler Kolek	45	45	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	2	10	14.4	17.2	-2.73	13.0	14.2	-1.17
OG Anunoby	67	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	-3	20	16.0	15.6	0.37	14.2	12.5	1.68
Precious Achiuwa	57	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	6	2	15.2	16.9	-1.73	13.2	14.3	-1.04
Josh Hart	65	65	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	11	-8	16.4	14.8	1.63	13.0	14.8	-1.81
Mitchell Robinson	41	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	8	-2	16.9	15.2	1.73	14.3	13.2	1.04
Delon Wright	64	62	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	19	-24	17.2	13.5	3.72	13.9	13.1	0.76
Kevin McCullar Jr.	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	16.4	15.9	0.57	10.5	13.8	-3.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 87, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	95.4%
DET 78, CHA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
LAL 118, LAC 125	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%