NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	120		Excitement	7.3 [394]		MVP	Kai Jones (DAL): +25.6%
Chicago Bulls	119		Comeback	3.4 [245]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -25.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kai Jones	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.14	0.11	0.00	8	88%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.14	0.08	-0.00	13	69%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Jaden Hardy	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	67%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.06	0.04	0.03	11	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
P.J. Washington	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	15	59%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Caleb Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	14	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	23	34%	-0.07	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	8	76%	0.18	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	17	74%	0.17	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	18	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.03
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	16	61%	0.14	4	-0.13	9	78%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.10	0.03	9	40%	-0.09	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.15	-0.08	0.03	12	31%	-0.12	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	25.6	15.3	26.1	2.8	33.5	133.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +19.2%

DAL +7.5%

CHI -24.7%

DAL +42.0%

DAL +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.0	12.5	14.4	110.1	110.2	113.1
season	14.3	13.2		113.3	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.4		114.2	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.6	12.8	14.4	15.5	14.0
CHI	12.6	13.9	11.0	12.7	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	73	71	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-7	15	14.2	13.7	0.47	12.5	12.6	-0.10
Spencer Dinwiddie	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	1	-1	14.1	13.9	0.24	12.8	11.6	1.21
Klay Thompson	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	-3	7	14.6	13.2	1.40	12.8	12.0	0.81
Kai Jones	69	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	-3	7	14.2	13.7	0.49	13.3	11.1	2.23
Brandon Williams	38	36	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	-6	13	13.3	14.5	-1.19	12.3	12.6	-0.25
Anthony Davis	71	68	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.63	-13	14	-27	14.2	13.7	0.46	12.5	12.4	0.08
Naji Marshall	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	1	-1	14.1	13.9	0.25	11.8	13.3	-1.50
Dwight Powell	18	18	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	-8	17	12.3	14.4	-2.04	11.6	12.7	-1.13
Max Christie	34	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-4	9	13.3	14.4	-1.12	12.4	12.5	-0.13
Jaden Hardy	21	22	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	8	-15	13.7	14.1	-0.46	10.8	12.9	-2.17
Caleb Martin	14	13	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	13	-25	14.8	13.9	0.86	12.8	12.5	0.39

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Phillips	37	38	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.11	14	-15	29	11.2	13.2	-1.91	14.7	13.7	0.99
Zach Collins	40	40	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.13	9	-10	19	12.5	12.5	0.04	14.0	14.1	-0.10
Dalen Terry	59	59	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.24	10	-11	21	11.8	13.3	-1.55	14.8	13.2	1.58
Matas Buzelis	82	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.59	9	-10	19	12.8	11.7	1.11	14.3	13.0	1.26
Coby White	80	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.60	9	-10	19	11.8	14.5	-2.65	14.3	13.2	1.13
Patrick Williams	42	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	18	-37	14.1	11.5	2.57	12.8	14.7	-1.89
Josh Giddey	60	60	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	13	-27	13.1	11.7	1.43	13.2	15.1	-1.90
Nikola Vucevic	68	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.34	-10	9	-19	12.5	12.5	-0.04	14.1	14.0	0.10
Kevin Huerter	72	72	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.30	-13	12	-25	12.7	12.0	0.71	13.8	14.4	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.6,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.39,0.34,0.51,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.14,0.15,0.31,0.35,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 105, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.18,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0	90.2%
ATL 99, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	90.0%
ORL 92, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.02,0	90.0%