NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	105		Excitement	6.2 [611]		MVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): +20.8%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	2.4 [262]		LVP	Brian Cardinal (MEM): -13.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.07	-0.01	8	87%	0.21	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.02	9	105%	0.22	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	79%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.05	-0.05	6	59%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	7	67%	0.15	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	6	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	13	35%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	54%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.01	20	47%	0.00	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	11	54%	-0.07	2	-0.04	17	76%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	30.2	15.5	24.3	1.8	42.0	139.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +76.8%

NJN -4.5%

MEM +0.2%

NJN -22.6%

MEM +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NJN	NBA	MEM	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.8	15.5	115.4	106.7	104.0
season	16.4	16.0		103.7	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.5	14.6	17.7	15.8	16.1
NJN	16.3	14.8	17.4	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	65	66	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.17	16	-7	23	16.9	13.9	2.98	15.2	17.3	-2.14
Brian Cardinal	53	52	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-3	15	16.8	14.9	1.90	16.6	14.7	1.92
Lorenzen Wright	61	60	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	-8	25	16.4	15.4	0.98	16.7	13.9	2.80
Jason Williams	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.20	20	-11	31	15.5	16.8	-1.35	15.3	16.4	-1.13
James Posey	57	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	8	-7	14.3	19.1	-4.80	14.9	17.1	-2.22
Shane Battier	60	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.03	10	-1	11	16.4	15.4	1.01	14.8	17.6	-2.77
Pau Gasol	42	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.41	-7	16	-23	16.1	16.0	0.07	16.6	15.1	1.46
Earl Watson	41	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	15	-21	15.6	16.4	-0.77	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Stromile Swift	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	14	-19	17.7	16.0	1.77	13.7	15.9	-2.11
Bonzi Wells	19	18	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	22	-35	16.2	16.0	0.20	19.0	15.0	4.04

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	18	17	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-13	17	15.5	15.8	-0.33	15.7	16.1	-0.43
Billy Thomas	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-9	9	2.0	15.9	-13.92	0.0	16.1	-16.05
Jacque Vaughn	42	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	-2	-5	16.8	14.9	1.96	16.7	15.5	1.21
Travis Best	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-11	13	13.4	16.9	-3.47	14.9	16.6	-1.65
Rodney Buford	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-14	19	15.2	16.8	-1.56	14.7	18.4	-3.62
Vince Carter	69	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-8	7	15.4	17.0	-1.67	16.5	14.4	2.11
Nenad Krstic	60	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-4	-1	15.9	15.6	0.30	16.7	14.6	2.04
Clifford Robinson	42	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	16.3	15.3	1.06	15.1	16.9	-1.79
Jason Collins	50	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	4	-17	17.1	14.1	2.96	16.8	15.0	1.79
Jason Kidd	82	82	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.09	-24	15	-39	15.9	14.9	0.98	16.2	14.6	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.18,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.09,0.03,0.04,0,0,0	92.5%
LAL 108, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.15,0.01,0,0,0	92.1%
LAC 102, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.1,0	91.9%