NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	121		Excitement	6.4 [530]		MVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): +24.2%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.1 [1180]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): -13.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.14	0.03	19	65%	0.29	3	-0.05	13	85%	0.05
Tari Eason	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	10	75%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	11	68%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	20	49%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	10	19%	-0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	-0.00	0.02	6	131%	0.24	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.03
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	10	62%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.01	-0.06	12	59%	0.13	4	-0.07	3	33%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.05	0.03	20	52%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	25.2	15.5	25.4	2.5	28.6	125.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -5.3%

HOU +0.0%

HOU +30.5%

HOU +22.6%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	14.4	123.5	112.2	113.1
season	14.7	14.8		114.2	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.2		119.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.9	15.3	14.6	16.2	15.3
UTA	15.1	15.3	14.2	12.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amen Thompson	63	61	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-6	23	13.2	19.0	-5.75	14.2	14.0	0.14
Alperen Sengun	71	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-6	23	13.6	19.7	-6.16	13.8	15.0	-1.17
Dillon Brooks	53	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	2	7	15.6	14.9	0.63	15.8	12.0	3.81
Fred VanVleet	66	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	0	11	15.7	14.4	1.34	15.5	10.9	4.68
Jalen Green	73	73	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	8	-5	15.0	16.0	-0.97	14.0	14.4	-0.33
Jabari Smith Jr.	55	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	5	1	16.1	14.3	1.78	12.5	15.9	-3.39
Aaron Holiday	27	26	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	5	1	14.5	15.6	-1.04	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Jock Landale	23	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	16	-21	20.3	13.7	6.51	14.7	13.9	0.79
Tari Eason	59	60	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	20	-29	16.7	13.1	3.69	12.9	16.1	-3.17

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyonte George	57	58	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.19	9	-20	29	13.4	15.1	-1.74	15.8	14.5	1.31
KJ Martin	37	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-12	13	13.0	14.8	-1.79	17.1	14.2	2.95
Brice Sensabaugh	49	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-10	9	13.6	14.6	-1.00	15.8	14.8	1.00
Jaden Springer	9	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-5	-1	15.0	14.0	0.98	18.0	15.0	3.03
Johnny Juzang	42	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-9	7	14.2	14.0	0.18	16.0	14.7	1.29
Walker Kessler	53	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-6	1	15.7	12.3	3.41	14.3	16.4	-2.14
Isaiah Collier	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	14.6	13.2	1.42	14.7	16.4	-1.75
Collin Sexton	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	2	-15	14.1	14.1	-0.03	14.9	16.2	-1.33
Cody Williams	43	43	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.04	-16	5	-21	14.5	13.8	0.71	14.2	16.1	-1.94
Kyle Filipowski	69	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	5	-21	13.6	15.4	-1.80	15.1	15.8	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.49,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.26,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, SAS 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.27,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	94.5%
SAC 104, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.02,0	93.7%
MIA 98, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.4%