NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	116		Excitement	9.7 [92]		MVP	Jarrett Allen (CLE): +56.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	124		Comeback	2.0 [894]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -18.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.01	15	65%	0.27	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Keldon Johnson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.14	0.00	16	50%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Julian Champagnie	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.00	0.14	0.01	13	52%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.10
Harrison Barnes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	48%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Stephon Castle	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	23	42%	0.11	3	-0.13	6	33%	-0.07
Sandro Mamukelashvili	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	10	25%	-0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.57	0.57	0.22	0.35	0.01	11	88%	0.62	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.01	18	61%	0.24	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.08	0.01	10	90%	0.26	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	4	37%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	13	50%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	15	44%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.04	0.01	15	33%	-0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	26.2	15.4	33.8	2.0	34.0	138.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +56.8%

SAS -12.5%

CLE +13.2%

SAS -7.6%

CLE +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CLE	NBA	SAS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.4	13.4	14.4	112.6	119.2	113.1
season	14.2	13.7		113.0	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.5		110.9	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	13.6	14.8	14.4	14.4
CLE	12.8	13.6	12.8	14.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sandro Mamukelashvili	16	15	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.11	1	-9	10	15.6	14.2	1.33	11.4	13.7	-2.33
Bismack Biyombo	34	34	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-13	18	13.5	14.9	-1.44	13.8	13.2	0.64
Julian Champagnie	51	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-2	-4	15.8	13.1	2.79	12.3	14.5	-2.21
Keldon Johnson	57	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-6	4	14.5	14.4	0.08	13.3	13.5	-0.13
Chris Paul	72	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.38	6	-14	20	13.5	16.6	-3.11	13.9	12.0	1.91
Stephon Castle	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-7	6	13.6	16.2	-2.63	13.7	12.8	0.93
Jeremy Sochan	46	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	4	-16	16.5	12.7	3.81	13.5	13.3	0.19
Blake Wesley	30	30	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	11	-30	16.7	13.5	3.15	11.4	14.2	-2.85
Devin Vassell	79	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	-2	-4	14.1	15.7	-1.60	13.7	12.6	1.10
Harrison Barnes	59	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.39	-6	-2	-4	13.3	16.0	-2.69	14.2	12.3	1.94

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	18	17	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.13	15	-7	22	13.7	13.3	0.40	17.4	13.8	3.56
De'Andre Hunter	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	1	6	13.1	13.9	-0.78	13.6	16.1	-2.45
Darius Garland	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	7	-6	14.3	11.8	2.48	13.2	16.5	-3.23
Jarrett Allen	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	7	-6	14.3	11.8	2.48	13.2	16.5	-3.23
Max Strus	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.40	-2	10	-12	14.5	11.8	2.70	13.0	16.6	-3.57
Donovan Mitchell	78	76	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	2	4	12.8	15.2	-2.40	14.6	14.1	0.44
Isaac Okoro	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.14	10	-2	12	11.8	14.5	-2.70	16.6	13.0	3.57
Sam Merrill	53	53	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.15	6	2	4	12.2	14.6	-2.46	15.3	13.6	1.70
Tristan Thompson	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	6	-4	12.4	13.6	-1.26	14.9	14.3	0.56
Dean Wade	49	49	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	14	-20	13.8	13.0	0.84	16.5	12.6	3.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.73,0.81,0.55,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 95, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.55,0.84,0.95,1	91.8%
NOH 106, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.84,1	91.6%
DEN 68, CHI 70	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.84,1	91.1%