NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	126		Excitement	5.2 [794]		MVP	James Harden (LAC): +41.9%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	4.1 [539]		LVP	Tyler Kolek (NYK): -12.8%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.18	0.21	-0.03	16	72%	0.46	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Kawhi Leonard	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.04	0.01	18	66%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.04	0.01	12	73%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.01	2	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.06	8	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	15	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.20	0.05	0.10	17	76%	0.15	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.04	0.05	20	68%	0.23	4	-0.08	10	80%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	9	83%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	16	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anton Watson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarJon Beauchamp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Tyler Kolek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	25.1	15.4	27.7	2.5	33.3	130.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +33.8%

LAC +5.7%

LAC +5.0%

LAC +8.4%

NYK -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	14.4	137.0	121.5	113.0
season	14.9	15.3		113.8	116.0
opponent	14.2	14.4		112.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	16.1	15.1	17.3	15.6
NYK	16.5	15.2	16.2	14.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Jones Jr.	32	33	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.11	24	-11	35	15.6	15.7	-0.10	16.2	15.1	1.00
Ben Simmons	30	30	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-6	25	15.6	15.6	0.00	16.9	14.8	2.06
Nicolas Batum	32	35	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-5	23	14.4	16.3	-1.83	16.4	15.0	1.39
Bogdan Bogdanovic	34	34	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-1	15	15.7	15.6	0.17	16.3	15.0	1.29
James Harden	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	13	-13	15.4	16.4	-1.05	15.1	16.8	-1.71
Ivica Zubac	60	59	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	17	-21	16.3	14.3	1.97	14.8	16.7	-1.94
Kawhi Leonard	79	79	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	13	-13	15.9	14.0	1.90	15.6	14.8	0.85
Kobe Brown	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	13.0	15.7	-2.66	11.0	15.6	-4.55
Patty Mills	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	13.0	15.7	-2.66	11.0	15.6	-4.55
Drew Eubanks	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	13.0	15.7	-2.66	11.0	15.6	-4.55
Norman Powell	61	62	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	21	-29	15.7	15.5	0.12	14.9	16.7	-1.81
Kris Dunn	57	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	17	-21	15.6	15.7	-0.18	15.3	15.8	-0.54

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-15	17	14.7	15.7	-0.92	17.2	15.3	1.96
Anton Watson	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	11.0	15.6	-4.55	13.0	15.7	-2.66
MarJon Beauchamp	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	11.0	15.6	-4.55	13.0	15.7	-2.66
Cameron Payne	37	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	15.9	15.2	0.73	14.3	16.5	-2.17
Mikal Bridges	78	76	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-15	17	15.3	16.6	-1.31	15.9	14.2	1.75
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	75	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-15	17	15.4	15.8	-0.32	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Delon Wright	23	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-10	7	14.0	16.0	-1.94	17.3	15.1	2.17
Josh Hart	66	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.41	7	-20	27	14.9	16.9	-1.95	15.8	15.1	0.72
Tyler Kolek	34	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	1	-15	15.9	15.3	0.59	15.8	15.5	0.32
OG Anunoby	74	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-5	-3	15.5	15.4	0.17	15.3	16.9	-1.62
Mitchell Robinson	23	23	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.09	-22	9	-31	17.4	14.9	2.51	16.3	15.4	0.84
Landry Shamet	37	37	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.18	-29	16	-45	16.5	14.8	1.67	14.9	16.1	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.44,0.32,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 110, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
TOR 101, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
SAS 97, BOS 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%