NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	110		Excitement	5.6 [707]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +37.4%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	3.9 [152]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (MIL): -13.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.30	0.16	0.08	20	72%	0.37	0	0.00	17	82%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.06	0.03	14	68%	0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	13	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
T.J. Ford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	19	47%	0.01	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	7	25%	-0.08	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	47%	0.05	1	-0.01	8	62%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	19	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	11	53%	0.05	5	-0.12	12	67%	-0.05
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	25.4	16.4	24.7	2.3	48.9	146.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +12.5%

MIL +4.1%

MIL +20.5%

MIL +11.5%

MIL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.4	13.9	15.6	115.8	101.1	104.4
season	15.5	15.7		104.6	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.8	17.0	17.9	14.4	16.4
NJN	13.2	13.7	17.2	12.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	55	52	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.21	27	-13	40	16.6	16.1	0.51	14.5	13.3	1.18
T.J. Ford	86	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	3	8	16.1	18.7	-2.54	13.8	15.4	-1.62
Michael Redd	76	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	3	8	15.6	19.6	-4.01	14.0	13.8	0.18
Dan Gadzuric	38	38	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	4	6	18.3	15.1	3.20	14.2	13.8	0.39
Toni Kukoc	31	30	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	6	2	17.3	15.9	1.32	14.0	13.9	0.13
Bobby Simmons	49	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	4	6	17.2	15.5	1.68	13.7	14.2	-0.44
Andrew Bogut	64	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	10	-6	16.0	17.2	-1.18	13.7	14.5	-0.77
Jamaal Magloire	54	53	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	8	-2	14.7	18.6	-3.90	14.1	13.7	0.38
Josh Davis	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	24.0	16.3	7.71	8.5	14.1	-5.56
Reece Gaines	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	24.0	16.3	7.71	8.5	14.1	-5.56
Charlie Bell	20	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.16	-13	27	-40	17.8	16.0	1.88	14.4	13.8	0.64

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	47	46	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.18	10	-24	34	14.8	13.1	1.62	16.5	16.2	0.26
Lamond Murray	23	21	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-14	14	12.0	14.6	-2.57	15.0	16.8	-1.76
Scott Padgett	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	9.3	14.1	-4.76	8.7	16.6	-7.95
Jacque Vaughn	14	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-12	10	12.9	14.1	-1.19	15.7	16.5	-0.81
Jason Kidd	69	70	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-19	24	14.0	13.7	0.30	16.3	16.6	-0.37
Nenad Krstic	66	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.18	2	-16	18	14.2	13.4	0.72	16.6	15.9	0.67
Zoran Planinic	19	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.16	-12	-2	-10	15.3	13.6	1.71	16.2	16.4	-0.25
Marc Jackson	20	20	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	2	-18	15.2	13.6	1.59	18.4	15.8	2.57
Richard Jefferson	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-9	4	14.7	12.1	2.62	17.5	13.3	4.27
Jeff McInnis	28	27	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	6	-26	13.2	14.3	-1.04	15.6	16.7	-1.03
Vince Carter	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-8	2	14.1	13.4	0.71	16.5	16.0	0.44
Clifford Robinson	47	44	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.11	-24	10	-34	12.3	15.6	-3.35	15.1	17.4	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 95, GSW 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
SAS 97, BOS 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
TOR 101, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%