NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	106		Excitement	10.2 [67]		MVP	Kevin Durant (PHX): +64.2%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	5.9 [277]		LVP	Kevin Porter Jr. (MIL): -13.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.24	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.24,0.24	-0.03	0.28	0.01	16	42%	0.29	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.03
Gary Trent Jr.	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.2	0.15	0.05	0.00	12	70%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	19	61%	0.21	2	-0.04	13	46%	-0.21
Brook Lopez	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14	0.12	-0.00	-0.02	14	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.11
Ryan Rollins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	3	89%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	5	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	9	28%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.64	0.64	0.18	0.48	0.02	21	73%	0.79	5	-0.15	10	90%	0.03
Ryan Dunn	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.12	-0.02	7	80%	0.23	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.09	0.00	8	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.12,-0.22,-0.27,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.14	0.02	18	46%	0.29	5	-0.23	5	100%	0.02
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.00	3	67%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	28.5	15.7	30.4	2.5	36.2	142.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +84.7%

MIL -9.0%

PHX +9.4%

MIL -35.2%

PHX +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.1	15.0	14.4	115.2	116.1	113.1
season	14.4	15.0		114.2	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.3		117.4	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.6	16.7	17.4	14.9	16.1
PHX	14.4	14.6	15.4	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	52	54	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-8	14	16.7	15.5	1.18	15.5	14.3	1.24
AJ Green	42	41	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	15.5	16.7	-1.18	14.1	15.7	-1.57
Ryan Rollins	47	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.33	7	-9	16	15.5	16.8	-1.29	16.1	13.8	2.29
Brook Lopez	80	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-7	12	16.2	15.7	0.45	15.3	13.0	2.33
Kevin Porter Jr.	45	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	7	-16	16.8	15.5	1.29	13.8	16.1	-2.29
Gary Trent Jr.	60	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	3	-8	16.2	16.0	0.17	14.6	15.7	-1.08
Giannis Antetokounmpo	69	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.53	-4	2	-6	16.3	15.7	0.59	15.3	13.9	1.43
Kyle Kuzma	65	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	7	-16	15.9	16.8	-0.95	14.7	15.7	-0.99

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	77	76	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.41	13	-11	24	15.0	15.0	0.00	16.1	16.1	0.02
Kevin Durant	71	69	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.53	4	-2	6	15.3	13.9	1.43	16.3	15.7	0.59
Grayson Allen	23	25	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	-3	8	14.0	15.3	-1.39	15.0	16.6	-1.57
Oso Ighodaro	37	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	-3	8	14.3	15.5	-1.21	15.3	16.8	-1.50
Nick Richards	56	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	5	-8	15.5	14.3	1.21	16.8	15.3	1.50
Tyus Jones	50	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-3	8	15.0	15.0	0.00	16.1	16.2	-0.07
Ryan Dunn	56	55	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.33	-8	10	-18	15.6	14.2	1.39	16.5	15.6	0.91
Collin Gillespie	41	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	1	0	15.4	14.7	0.79	17.4	15.2	2.21
Royce O'Neale	24	25	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	8	-14	14.5	15.2	-0.62	15.0	16.6	-1.51
Cody Martin	30	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	8	-14	13.7	15.6	-1.87	15.4	16.5	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.59,0.57,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.63,0.78,0.18,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.42,1	90.6%
MIN 87, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.17,1	90.6%
PHI 102, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.42,1	90.6%