NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	8.4 [178]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +37.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	2.6 [564]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -35.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	0.00	5	77%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	4	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	36%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	38%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DJ Mbenga	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,-0.08,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,0.03,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	31	44%	-0.01	3	-0.07	8	62%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.35	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.35	-0.04	-0.32	-0.00	14	38%	-0.35	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.20

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.2,0.38	0.38	0.11	0.27	0.00	25	59%	0.59	4	-0.22	13	77%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	9	59%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	37%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	7	14%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.7	37.2	19.8	29.5	3.8	34.2	153.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +76.0%

CLE +10.8%

LAL -8.0%

LAL -29.0%

CLE +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	17.1	15.3	100.0	106.9	106.0
season	15.7	16.1		107.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		103.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.8	15.4	16.2	15.8	16.0
CLE	17.5	15.2	16.5	19.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	46	46	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-9	12	17.5	14.4	3.16	18.2	15.9	2.30
Sasha Vujacic	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-6	6	11.0	16.1	-5.09	1.0	17.3	-16.26
DJ Mbenga	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	10.7	16.2	-5.56	21.0	16.9	4.07
Luke Walton	15	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-4	2	13.5	16.6	-3.02	20.1	16.3	3.79
Shannon Brown	24	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-3	0	16.7	15.8	0.93	18.7	16.5	2.21
Jordan Farmar	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-5	4	16.4	15.9	0.49	17.9	16.8	1.12
Metta World Peace	62	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	16.8	14.2	2.57	17.0	17.3	-0.33
Pau Gasol	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-3	0	16.0	16.0	-0.00	16.2	18.9	-2.69
Derek Fisher	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	15.8	16.7	-0.93	16.5	18.7	-2.21
Kobe Bryant	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	15.9	16.9	-0.98	16.4	20.8	-4.35
Lamar Odom	65	65	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	6	-18	15.2	18.4	-3.18	16.9	17.6	-0.70

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	0	6	17.4	14.2	3.24	15.8	17.9	-2.11
Daniel Gibson	34	34	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	1	4	18.4	16.2	2.20	16.2	15.9	0.23
LeBron James	73	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	1	4	16.5	20.1	-3.58	16.4	14.2	2.12
Anderson Varejao	42	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	7	-8	18.1	16.1	1.98	15.4	16.7	-1.31
Shaquille O'Neal	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	3	0	16.6	17.7	-1.11	16.9	14.7	2.21
JJ Hickson	48	46	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	0	6	15.6	18.9	-3.27	16.3	15.7	0.62
Jawad Williams	30	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	2	2	17.3	17.0	0.30	14.8	16.7	-1.91
Anthony Parker	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	4	-2	16.0	18.4	-2.48	16.3	15.7	0.62
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	32	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	6	-6	19.1	15.9	3.25	15.5	16.3	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 125, TOR 127	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.42,1	90.9%
SAS 102, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.41,1	90.7%
WAS 102, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.57,0.42,1	90.6%