NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	129		Excitement	7.5 [358]		MVP	Peyton Watson (DEN): +30.1%
Denver Nuggets	119		Comeback	2.9 [299]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (DEN): -23.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.21	0.08	0.01	22	67%	0.33	1	-0.04	11	91%	0.05
Jalen Smith	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.07	0.00	8	82%	0.20	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Giddey	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.06	0.02	11	81%	0.25	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.02
Dalen Terry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	70%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peyton Watson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.13	0.01	12	75%	0.30	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	-0.01	-0.03	22	61%	0.15	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	13	62%	0.14	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	18	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Pickett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlatko Cancar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	6	59%	0.02	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.05
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	14	44%	-0.05	5	-0.19	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.0	27.4	14.6	31.0	1.8	30.3	131.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.9%

CHI +7.1%

DEN -5.6%

CHI +12.3%

CHI +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DEN	NBA	CHI	DEN	NBA
this game	13.1	15.1	14.4	126.5	116.7	113.1
season	13.2	14.0		112.4	118.4
opponent	14.6	14.5		114.7	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.0	12.8	13.9	13.7	13.1
DEN	15.7	14.8	13.8	16.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Smith	33	32	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.13	17	-7	24	12.8	13.2	-0.37	15.8	14.8	0.94
Coby White	84	85	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-6	22	12.6	15.2	-2.58	15.4	13.7	1.72
Josh Giddey	76	74	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	0	10	13.4	12.3	1.06	15.3	14.6	0.73
Kevin Huerter	75	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	2	6	13.2	12.7	0.54	15.2	14.9	0.29
Dalen Terry	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	2	6	13.4	12.6	0.82	14.7	15.8	-1.03
Julian Phillips	20	20	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	0	10	12.3	13.3	-0.99	15.8	15.0	0.89
Zach Collins	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	11	-12	10.6	13.3	-2.68	16.4	15.0	1.34
Nikola Vucevic	61	62	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	16	-22	13.6	12.4	1.14	14.6	15.9	-1.25
Matas Buzelis	52	52	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	18	-26	12.8	13.4	-0.51	15.4	14.9	0.50
Patrick Williams	40	40	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	14	-18	13.5	12.8	0.66	14.0	15.9	-1.91

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Pickett	25	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-6	2	17.0	14.5	2.47	12.2	13.4	-1.24
DeAndre Jordan	65	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-12	14	14.7	15.8	-1.10	13.7	12.1	1.57
Jamal Murray	66	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-11	12	14.5	16.2	-1.72	13.6	12.0	1.60
Zeke Nnaji	28	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-1	-8	16.1	14.8	1.34	12.2	13.4	-1.16
Peyton Watson	82	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-10	10	14.5	17.8	-3.31	13.6	10.9	2.71
Vlatko Cancar	28	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-1	-8	16.0	14.8	1.14	12.1	13.5	-1.39
Christian Braun	84	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-12	14	15.1	15.2	-0.10	13.5	11.5	1.93
Russell Westbrook	57	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	1	-12	14.3	16.2	-1.82	12.9	13.4	-0.53
Michael Porter Jr.	75	77	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.09	-22	12	-34	16.1	12.6	3.51	12.4	15.4	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.68,0.37,0.27,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 115, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.04,0,0.02,0	93.3%
CLE 103, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.1,0,0,0,0	92.2%
MIL 101, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.06,0,0	91.6%