NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	112		Excitement	7.9 [320]		MVP	Jamison Battle (TOR): +18.2%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	1.9 [438]		LVP	Alex Sarr (WAS): -22.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamison Battle	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.11	-0.00	9	61%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	13	75%	0.21	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	16	52%	0.16	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Jamal Shead	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	56%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Colin Castleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	6	42%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Mogbo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Scottie Barnes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	16	36%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Ochai Agbaji	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	10	41%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Orlando Robinson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
AJ Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.08	0.02	9	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Jordan Poole	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.03	-0.01	13	82%	0.25	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Vukcevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	52%	0.07	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyshawn George	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	15	45%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Colby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	4	20%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Alex Sarr	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.10	0.01	19	34%	-0.18	2	-0.05	9	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.4	29.5	15.3	27.7	2.3	30.3	136.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +16.6%

WAS -1.6%

TOR +13.4%

TOR +21.4%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	12.9	13.9	14.4	104.7	96.3	113.0
season	13.9	14.0		109.0	105.3
opponent	14.1	14.6		117.6	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.6	13.1	11.1	13.8	12.9
WAS	15.2	12.7	14.6	13.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Colin Castleton	42	42	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-2	12	11.8	13.6	-1.77	14.9	13.3	1.60
Immanuel Quickley	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	-2	12	12.6	13.1	-0.52	14.0	13.9	0.13
Scottie Barnes	62	63	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	-2	12	12.8	13.0	-0.20	14.2	13.6	0.60
Jakob Poeltl	59	60	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-1	10	13.0	12.7	0.31	13.7	14.2	-0.51
Ochai Agbaji	67	68	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	7	-6	13.5	11.8	1.61	13.2	15.2	-2.06
Jamison Battle	59	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	7	-6	13.1	12.6	0.50	13.2	14.9	-1.64
A.J. Lawson	51	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	3	2	13.5	12.2	1.32	13.8	14.0	-0.24
Jamal Shead	44	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	8	-8	12.0	13.5	-1.54	14.6	13.5	1.12
Jonathan Mogbo	52	53	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	11	-14	13.2	12.5	0.65	14.1	13.8	0.29
Orlando Robinson	41	41	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	11	-14	12.6	13.0	-0.41	14.4	13.7	0.71

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	50	50	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.06	8	-16	24	13.1	14.6	-1.46	13.1	12.7	0.41
Jordan Poole	50	50	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.06	8	-16	24	13.1	14.6	-1.46	13.1	12.7	0.41
Kyshawn George	4	4	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-13	18	15.7	13.9	1.89	14.7	12.8	1.96
Justin Champagnie	48	47	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-8	8	13.4	14.3	-0.95	13.6	12.3	1.27
Jaylen Martin	10	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-4	0	14.7	13.8	0.85	10.1	13.1	-3.00
Bub Carrington	69	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-13	18	13.0	15.5	-2.52	13.5	11.6	1.89
Alex Sarr	71	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-11	14	13.4	14.9	-1.43	13.2	12.2	0.98
Marcus Smart	27	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	0	-8	15.4	13.4	1.93	12.3	13.0	-0.78
JT Thor	36	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	3	-14	15.1	13.3	1.78	11.7	13.4	-1.65
AJ Johnson	63	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.19	-15	7	-22	14.7	12.9	1.74	12.5	13.4	-0.86
Tristan Vukcevic	53	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.19	-16	8	-24	14.3	13.6	0.66	12.7	13.0	-0.25
Colby Jones	59	59	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.23	-15	7	-22	14.6	13.1	1.55	12.4	13.4	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.09,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 115, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.04,0,0.02,0	93.6%
NYK 77, ATL 70	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.02,0	93.5%
CHH 95, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	93.0%