inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 106 Excitement5.1 [799] MVPFranz Wagner (ORL): +17.7%
Orlando Magic 118 Comeback2.6 [309] LVPAustin Reaves (LAL): -6.3%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.060.080.011856%0.172-0.05786%0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith0.100,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.150.000.057100%0.1000.0000%0.00
Luka Doncic0.060,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.10-0.020.022356%0.133-0.071191%0.04
Dalton Knecht0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jordan Goodwin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Trey Jemison III0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gabe Vincent-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jaxson Hayes-0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Rui Hachimura-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.010.02450%-0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Austin Reaves-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.011650%-0.013-0.05475%-0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Franz Wagner0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.110.04-0.032658%0.222-0.043100%0.02
Anthony Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.020.021085%0.141-0.0100%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.03-0.01675%0.1100.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01462%0.0600.0000%0.00
Paolo Banchero0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.010.041765%0.154-0.121283%0.03
Caleb Houstan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.01757%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tristan da Silva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.010.041050%-0.0000.00475%-0.00
Goga Bitadze0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.42.432.515.424.42.330.5135.9
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +33.9%
LAL -3.5%
ORL +11.9%
ORL +5.2%
ORL +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALORLNBALALORLNBA
this game14.816.514.4115.2128.3113.0
season15.015.4114.1108.3
opponent14.414.3109.1113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.714.818.910.814.8
ORL17.014.617.117.316.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Goodwin19220.01-0.510.520.010-121217.714.13.6019.915.44.51
Trey Jemison III110.00-0.500.500.000-12125.014.9-9.9320.016.43.56
Jarred Vanderbilt2223-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-10813.615.2-1.5617.916.01.91
Dalton Knecht1111-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-6013.115.1-1.9711.317.2-5.91
Rui Hachimura4442-0.15-0.350.21-0.12-1-111014.914.70.2018.414.83.59
Gabe Vincent3636-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-10814.914.70.1917.615.71.91
Dorian Finney-Smith6768-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.13-6-6015.114.01.0816.616.00.59
Jaxson Hayes4040-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-10-2-814.714.9-0.1313.418.9-5.49
Austin Reaves7572-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.19-7-5-214.018.6-4.6915.420.4-5.01
Luka Doncic6970-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.17-9-3-615.712.13.6517.513.14.45
LeBron James7675-0.520.02-0.55-0.03-175-2214.516.2-1.7215.720.1-4.39

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paolo Banchero75730.54-0.040.590.1314-21616.914.62.2515.412.72.70
Anthony Black61610.50-0.000.500.0615-31816.217.1-0.9313.417.5-4.11
Franz Wagner77780.440.060.370.081201215.720.5-4.8513.919.7-5.77
Wendell Carter Jr.57580.340.160.180.1084417.015.61.4215.813.22.52
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope64630.330.170.170.1666016.915.61.3015.313.81.56
Caleb Houstan30280.140.36-0.210.09210-818.815.43.4016.614.12.51
Tristan da Silva15160.090.41-0.32-0.0657-211.917.4-5.4313.115.2-2.06
Gary Harris14160.090.41-0.33-0.0348-414.316.9-2.5913.915.0-1.08
Goga Bitadze19170.050.45-0.390.11-214-1617.016.30.6612.415.4-3.03
Cory Joseph30300.000.50-0.500.09-315-1817.016.20.8217.713.44.31
Jonathan Isaac1820-0.020.52-0.540.01-113-1416.316.5-0.2513.515.2-1.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 87, TOR 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
SAC 99, UTA 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,194.8%
ATL 81, NJN 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1,194.4%