NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	4.9 [852]		MVP	Marvin Williams (UTA): +11.6%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	2.1 [811]		LVP	Derrick Williams (SAC): -8.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	10	73%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Quincy Acy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray McCallum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	13	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	15	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Ben McLemore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.02	0.06	12	56%	0.00	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.05	13	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	0.00	10	67%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	8	73%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	12	50%	-0.03
Brandon Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	38%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	13	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	31.7	15.0	27.5	2.0	41.2	145.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.7%

UTA +10.2%

UTA +11.0%

UTA +7.1%

UTA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.1	106.5	112.8	105.2
season	15.4	16.2		104.5	102.1
opponent	14.8	14.7		109.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.8	15.0	15.6	16.5	16.1
UTA	18.2	11.7	14.4	15.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	23	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-12	17	15.3	16.4	-1.01	14.9	14.6	0.30
Ray McCallum	20	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-13	19	16.2	16.1	0.12	14.1	14.9	-0.72
Aaron Gray	12	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	2	-11	18.2	15.8	2.36	17.2	14.4	2.80
Jason Thompson	53	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-5	3	16.2	16.0	0.23	15.4	13.7	1.73
Jimmer Fredette	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.33	5	-12	17	14.7	17.3	-2.63	12.3	16.6	-4.28
Ben McLemore	50	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-9	11	15.2	17.2	-2.01	14.7	14.7	0.09
Isaiah Thomas	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	0	-7	17.1	15.1	1.93	15.5	13.9	1.62
Derrick Williams	77	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-12	17	15.8	17.7	-1.91	13.8	18.4	-4.63
Travis Outlaw	42	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	6	-19	18.2	14.4	3.75	16.2	13.5	2.65
Quincy Acy	41	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	5	-17	14.8	17.1	-2.29	12.8	16.2	-3.46
Marcus Thornton	58	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	8	-23	16.8	15.0	1.78	16.2	12.2	3.99

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	44	44	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-8	23	14.5	14.8	-0.29	16.9	15.4	1.44
Derrick Favors	53	53	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-7	21	15.3	14.0	1.33	16.5	15.5	1.02
Marvin Williams	48	48	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	-7	21	14.8	14.6	0.23	16.7	15.4	1.28
Gordon Hayward	72	70	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	-6	19	15.9	10.9	4.95	16.0	16.4	-0.43
John Lucas III	41	40	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	7	-7	15.2	14.3	0.83	15.4	16.6	-1.15
Trey Burke	50	50	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	4	-1	14.6	14.8	-0.13	16.5	15.7	0.76
Brandon Rush	22	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.29	-6	13	-19	10.9	15.9	-4.95	16.4	16.0	0.43
Diante Garrett	14	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	10	-13	6.9	16.1	-9.13	14.6	16.3	-1.73
Enes Kanter	43	43	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	10	-13	15.3	14.2	1.06	15.3	16.8	-1.50
Jeremy Evans	41	40	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.23	-7	14	-21	14.0	15.3	-1.33	15.5	16.5	-1.02
Alec Burks	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	8	-9	17.3	12.9	4.37	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Rudy Gobert	3	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	11	-15	4.7	15.0	-10.37	18.5	16.1	2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, UTA 117	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
NJN 87, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MEM 82, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%