NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	130		Excitement	7.8 [346]		MVP	Ronald Holland II (DET): +45.1%
Detroit Pistons	136		Comeback	2.4 [848]		LVP	Kelly Olynyk (NOP): -10.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hawkins	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.07	0.02	13	86%	0.31	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
CJ McCollum	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.21	0.08	0.09	28	66%	0.27	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Bruce Brown	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	9	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keion Brooks Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.04	6	93%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Reeves	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Cain	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karlo Matkovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	7	62%	0.07	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.16	0.29	-0.00	14	67%	0.45	0	0.00	11	45%	-0.08
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.21	0.22	0.01	9	87%	0.42	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	11	71%	0.17	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.05
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	15	47%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.04	0.01	11	57%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	0	83%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.06	12	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.3	29.8	15.5	30.4	2.4	39.3	147.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP -5.9%

DET +13.0%

DET +17.3%

DET +27.1%

NOP -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DET	NBA	NOP	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	14.6	14.4	132.7	140.2	113.1
season	14.4	14.1		109.3	113.7
opponent	14.5	14.3		111.9	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.9	15.7	14.1	14.8	14.9
DET	12.8	15.6	16.6	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karlo Matkovic	30	31	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.00	11	-17	28	15.4	14.7	0.69	17.3	13.4	3.83
Jose Alvarado	57	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-8	10	15.1	14.5	0.60	14.3	15.2	-0.97
Antonio Reeves	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-2	-2	21.0	14.5	6.51	14.5	14.7	-0.16
CJ McCollum	77	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-9	12	14.3	17.0	-2.69	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Bruce Brown	71	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-6	6	14.6	15.7	-1.13	15.7	12.1	3.62
Jamal Cain	29	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	3	-12	14.0	15.3	-1.26	13.0	15.3	-2.37
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	69	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-2	-2	13.8	17.5	-3.73	13.7	16.9	-3.21
Kelly Olynyk	44	47	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	2	-10	17.2	13.0	4.16	15.9	13.5	2.37
Keion Brooks Jr.	43	41	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.14	-15	9	-24	16.0	14.1	1.90	13.8	15.3	-1.46
Jordan Hawkins	64	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.51	-6	0	-6	14.2	16.2	-1.97	14.1	15.6	-1.53

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Sasser	52	55	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-12	30	14.1	15.3	-1.15	15.3	14.4	0.88
Ronald Holland II	73	75	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	4	-2	14.5	15.0	-0.47	14.1	17.3	-3.16
Dennis Schroder	72	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	8	-10	14.4	15.4	-1.01	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Isaiah Stewart	38	41	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	-4	14	13.6	15.3	-1.72	15.3	14.6	0.78
Jalen Duren	59	57	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.36	-4	10	-14	15.3	13.6	1.72	14.6	15.3	-0.78
Tobias Harris	66	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	12	-18	15.2	13.5	1.62	14.0	16.6	-2.59
Simone Fontecchio	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	0	6	13.3	15.6	-2.24	15.5	14.5	0.95
Lindy Waters III	12	12	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	0	6	14.7	14.6	0.02	16.7	14.6	2.12
Malik Beasley	56	58	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	4	-2	15.6	13.4	2.22	15.4	14.1	1.33
Ausar Thompson	18	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	8	-10	15.8	14.4	1.39	17.1	14.4	2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.58,0.48,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.84,0.94,0.96,1	92.5%
NOH 106, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.84,1	92.4%
LAC 75, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.85,1	91.4%