NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	75		Excitement	7.6 [326]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +15.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	77		Comeback	1.7 [830]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -22.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.00	10	67%	0.14	3	-0.12	13	77%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.07	0.01	14	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Conroy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.07	-0.03	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	0%	-0.10
Daniel Ewing	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	13	47%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.05,0,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	19	65%	0.35	5	-0.20	10	90%	0.07
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.00	6	69%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	43%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	23%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	12	40%	0.02	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.12	0.02	12	44%	-0.04	5	-0.19	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.7	31.7	19.0	31.2	3.8	38.0	152.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +27.9%

SEA +22.1%

SEA +21.0%

LAC -20.4%

LAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	17.9	17.1	15.4	91.5	92.8	104.5
season	15.7	15.4		103.3	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	17.3	18.5	20.4	17.9
SEA	15.5	17.0	17.5	18.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	13	12	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.12	-3	1	-4	13.2	18.7	-5.49	14.2	17.5	-3.38
Tim Thomas	47	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	0	-2	18.1	17.5	0.54	16.8	17.4	-0.53
Aaron Williams	6	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	1	-4	13.8	18.2	-4.34	13.6	17.3	-3.68
James Singleton	3	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	4	-10	27.3	17.5	9.84	11.8	17.4	-5.60
Daniel Ewing	60	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-8	14	17.1	19.9	-2.81	17.6	15.5	2.12
Will Conroy	25	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	6	-14	19.5	17.1	2.40	14.7	18.1	-3.39
Cuttino Mobley	71	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.49	9	-11	20	17.7	18.9	-1.22	18.0	11.7	6.21
Chris Kaman	60	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.58	3	-5	8	18.1	17.1	0.98	18.1	14.5	3.54
Corey Maggette	53	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.43	-3	1	-4	17.8	18.0	-0.28	16.7	17.9	-1.23
Elton Brand	72	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.56	-3	1	-4	18.5	12.9	5.64	17.2	15.7	1.55

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	47	45	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.52	2	0	2	17.1	17.0	0.06	17.8	17.9	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	78	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-2	6	16.8	21.0	-4.19	18.1	15.0	3.08
Nick Collison	69	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	16.6	19.3	-2.68	17.1	21.1	-4.01
Andre Brown	19	17	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	-1	4	18.1	16.7	1.36	23.2	16.5	6.71
Mickael Gelabale	22	22	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	-7	16	17.1	17.0	0.04	19.7	17.2	2.56
Luke Ridnour	67	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.33	-2	4	-6	16.9	17.8	-0.93	17.4	20.1	-2.76
Chris Wilcox	69	69	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	6	-10	17.5	14.9	2.65	17.9	17.4	0.56
Johan Petro	8	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	-1	4	16.6	17.1	-0.48	14.1	18.4	-4.28
Damien Wilkins	36	36	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.16	-7	9	-16	17.4	16.8	0.68	16.9	18.6	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	92.1%
CHA 97, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.84,1	92.0%
POR 87, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.84,0.94,0.96,1	92.0%