NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	103		Excitement	5.9 [528]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +17.1%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	1.0 [929]		LVP	Noah Clowney (BKN): -9.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trendon Watford	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.03	14	68%	0.12	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.04
Tyrese Martin	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	12	54%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.02	9	45%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Cameron Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0	0.06	-0.01	0.04	17	57%	0.08	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maxwell Lewis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keon Johnson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	14	57%	0.03	4	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03
Noah Clowney	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	10	25%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.00	14	73%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.10	0.03	20	55%	0.18	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.03
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	53%	0.08	1	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.06	0.04	9	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	13	52%	-0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	27.3	14.8	31.2	2.0	39.0	143.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +15.1%

IND +22.7%

BKN -4.7%

IND +14.7%

IND +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	IND	NBA	BKN	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	14.4	101.0	109.1	113.0
season	15.4	13.8		108.2	114.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		113.4	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.0	16.2	14.6	12.3	14.9
IND	14.3	12.6	14.2	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Johnson	75	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-10	15	13.5	18.7	-5.17	13.1	15.6	-2.50
Day'Ron Sharpe	32	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-5	5	16.1	14.3	1.79	15.0	13.2	1.79
Maxwell Lewis	30	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	15.3	14.7	0.62	14.5	13.5	1.04
Noah Clowney	51	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-6	7	14.8	14.9	-0.08	15.1	12.4	2.63
Jalen Wilson	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	2	-9	17.2	12.9	4.29	13.6	14.0	-0.40
Tyrese Martin	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	2	-9	15.3	14.3	0.99	13.1	14.8	-1.72
Nic Claxton	71	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	1	-7	14.3	16.1	-1.73	13.1	15.2	-2.04
Cameron Johnson	81	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	0	-5	14.6	15.9	-1.31	13.5	14.9	-1.45
Trendon Watford	63	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.49	-3	-2	-1	14.5	15.4	-0.89	14.5	12.6	1.86

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	70	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-7	19	13.1	15.4	-2.31	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Bennedict Mathurin	56	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	0	5	13.3	14.3	-1.01	13.0	17.3	-4.28
Andrew Nembhard	72	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	0	5	13.4	14.9	-1.53	15.3	13.6	1.73
Tyrese Haliburton	67	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	-3	11	13.2	15.0	-1.81	15.6	13.4	2.22
Myles Turner	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	13.1	15.1	-1.94	16.0	12.8	3.18
Jarace Walker	14	14	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	4	-3	15.1	13.6	1.51	13.1	15.1	-1.99
Thomas Bryant	25	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	15.4	13.2	2.17	14.1	15.1	-0.96
T.J. McConnell	27	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	5	-5	14.9	13.4	1.53	13.9	15.2	-1.34
Aaron Nesmith	43	48	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	1	3	14.3	13.3	1.01	16.1	13.8	2.27
Obi Toppin	36	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.22	-8	13	-21	15.1	13.0	2.14	14.4	15.1	-0.76
Ben Sheppard	18	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	11	-17	14.9	13.5	1.43	13.7	15.1	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.72,0.68,0.89,0.89,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.83,1	93.5%
MIL 92, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.2%
ATL 107, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.71,0.79,0.99,1,1	93.2%