NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	6.1 [630]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +19.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	115		Comeback	1.0 [1272]		LVP	Vince Carter (ATL): -10.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.01	-0.01	23	62%	0.19	1	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06
Deyonta Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Isaac Humphries	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jaylen Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	16	31%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	11	52%	0.02	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	22%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.10	-0.02	19	51%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.07	0.07	15	71%	0.21	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.03
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	91%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bonzie Colson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	41%	-0.01	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	10	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	21%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	25.2	14.4	31.4	2.4	34.3	135.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +8.8%

MIL +22.1%

MIL +15.9%

ATL -1.6%

MIL +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	13.5	13.0	14.3	97.3	106.5	109.3
season	13.6	13.5		107.2	112.4
opponent	14.3	13.9		104.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	14.1	12.7	12.3	13.5
MIL	11.8	12.6	11.7	15.9	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	44	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-14	20	11.7	14.6	-2.93	13.0	12.9	0.04
Deyonta Davis	30	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-7	6	14.3	13.1	1.15	12.8	13.0	-0.18
Vince Carter	69	71	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.42	11	-19	30	11.9	16.1	-4.16	14.0	10.9	3.18
DeAndre' Bembry	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-11	14	13.4	13.5	-0.06	13.4	12.6	0.83
Kent Bazemore	55	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-10	12	13.2	13.8	-0.60	13.6	12.3	1.25
Kevin Huerter	59	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	3	-14	13.5	13.4	0.06	12.6	13.4	-0.83
Taurean Prince	61	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	2	-12	14.8	11.8	2.93	12.9	13.0	-0.05
Isaac Humphries	41	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	11	-30	16.1	11.9	4.16	10.9	14.0	-3.18
Jaylen Adams	63	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	8	-24	13.4	13.5	-0.12	12.4	13.7	-1.32
Alex Len	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	13.4	13.7	-0.33	13.0	12.8	0.26

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	54	59	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	-14	36	12.2	13.7	-1.50	14.8	11.9	2.84
Eric Bledsoe	53	57	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.13	23	-15	38	11.6	14.2	-2.61	15.2	11.6	3.59
Sterling Brown	63	64	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-10	28	12.0	14.2	-2.17	14.0	12.8	1.21
Giannis Antetokounmpo	54	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	-8	24	12.1	13.8	-1.61	14.6	12.3	2.29
Brook Lopez	52	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-6	20	12.3	13.5	-1.17	14.3	12.6	1.73
Pat Connaughton	54	52	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.35	-7	15	-22	14.6	11.3	3.35	12.6	14.3	-1.68
D.J. Wilson	55	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	16	-24	13.2	12.7	0.43	12.4	14.5	-2.15
George Hill	48	48	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.29	-8	16	-24	13.5	12.5	1.06	12.5	14.2	-1.75
Tim Frazier	55	53	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.40	-15	23	-38	14.2	11.6	2.61	11.6	15.2	-3.59
Bonzie Colson	11	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	14	-20	11.2	13.2	-1.97	9.8	13.8	-4.03
Ersan Ilyasova	41	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	17	-26	14.5	12.0	2.43	12.7	13.9	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.71,0.79,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.98,1	94.1%
CHA 98, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,1	93.9%
IND 77, CLE 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.76,0.71,0.94,0.87,1	93.9%