NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	128		Excitement	6.9 [470]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +46.8%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	8.8 [56]		LVP	Julian Phillips (CHI): -9.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.22	0.24	-0.01	18	70%	0.50	2	-0.03	14	93%	0.10
Kevin Huerter	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.10	0.04	16	78%	0.25	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.07	0.05	14	80%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dalen Terry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	6	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Tre Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	68%	0.12	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Matas Buzelis	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.25	0.10	0.06	19	79%	0.33	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.09	-0.01	3	111%	0.21	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.02	-0.01	11	79%	0.22	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	22	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Devin Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	38%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	30.3	15.4	34.4	2.5	28.2	136.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.1%

CHI +8.1%

CHI +13.8%

SAC -1.9%

CHI +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAC	NBA	CHI	SAC	NBA
this game	13.7	15.8	14.4	132.0	118.4	113.0
season	13.2	14.3		112.4	115.1
opponent	14.6	14.5		114.9	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	13.0	12.0	14.8	13.7
SAC	13.3	18.3	17.5	14.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Phillips	54	55	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-6	24	14.6	12.7	1.90	15.6	16.1	-0.58
Nikola Vucevic	65	65	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.03	18	-6	24	13.9	13.4	0.46	15.4	16.6	-1.14
Kevin Huerter	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-4	20	14.3	11.7	2.62	15.9	15.4	0.53
Coby White	76	78	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	2	8	13.5	14.5	-0.98	15.9	15.4	0.52
Dalen Terry	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	6	0	13.2	14.1	-0.81	15.8	15.8	0.02
Tre Jones	72	72	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	4	4	12.8	16.3	-3.51	15.0	18.2	-3.18
Patrick Williams	56	57	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	10	-8	13.3	14.3	-1.01	17.1	14.0	3.04
Matas Buzelis	31	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	22	-32	13.6	13.8	-0.14	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Zach Collins	15	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	20	-28	15.5	13.4	2.16	16.4	15.7	0.74

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	34	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-9	6	14.8	16.4	-1.61	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Devin Carter	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-17	22	17.1	15.0	2.05	13.7	13.7	-0.03
Jake LaRavia	41	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-12	12	16.7	15.2	1.53	14.1	13.4	0.76
Keon Ellis	36	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-6	0	16.0	15.7	0.29	13.7	13.7	0.05
Trey Lyles	45	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-6	0	16.2	15.5	0.75	14.6	12.9	1.74
Malik Monk	72	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-7	2	15.5	16.7	-1.19	13.5	14.3	-0.76
Zach LaVine	70	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-8	4	15.3	17.0	-1.66	14.1	12.7	1.41
Keegan Murray	81	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.01	-20	8	-28	15.6	16.6	-1.01	13.4	15.1	-1.67
DeMar DeRozan	72	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.05	-21	9	-30	15.8	16.0	-0.20	13.2	15.1	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.1,0.08,0.01,0.01,0	93.1%
ORL 104, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.55,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.41,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.01,0	91.5%
ATL 121, CLE 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.09,0	91.4%