NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	121		Excitement	7.0 [451]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +32.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Comeback	7.4 [167]		LVP	Lauri Markkanen (CLE): -12.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26	0.10	0.16	-0.01	28	53%	0.30	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.05
Chaundee Brown Jr.	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.10	0.00	6	75%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.01	0.03	11	83%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	17	53%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	12	45%	0.09	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Cameron Oliver	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.32	0.32	0.28	0.05	0.00	18	76%	0.34	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	11	72%	0.19	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.05
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	4	91%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	9	65%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Windler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Pangos	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	10	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	10	40%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	28.6	14.8	30.0	2.5	37.3	136.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +8.3%

ATL +26.1%

CLE -1.4%

ATL +13.5%

ATL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	14.5	127.4	124.2	110.8
season	14.6	15.2		114.3	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		108.5	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.6	14.8	12.8	17.4	14.9
CLE	14.2	15.2	18.5	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	83	83	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.34	12	-9	21	14.8	15.8	-1.07	15.4	15.4	0.01
Wes Iwundu	85	83	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-8	19	15.1	13.0	2.12	15.7	13.6	2.10
Clint Capela	78	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	-3	9	15.0	14.4	0.59	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Chaundee Brown Jr.	39	40	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	-5	13	13.5	15.9	-2.34	17.1	14.2	2.99
Lou Williams	62	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.44	-7	10	-17	15.3	14.1	1.19	14.6	17.1	-2.48
Cameron Oliver	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	6	-9	15.4	14.4	0.98	14.6	16.3	-1.69
Skylar Mays	45	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	0	3	14.6	15.2	-0.60	16.6	14.4	2.22
Lance Stephenson	12	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	8	-13	13.9	15.0	-1.12	13.9	15.6	-1.72
Cam Reddish	21	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	13	-23	15.6	14.7	0.93	13.9	15.9	-1.95

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dylan Windler	6	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	19.7	15.1	4.53	13.0	15.0	-2.02
Brandon Goodwin	50	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-14	25	13.7	17.4	-3.72	14.8	15.0	-0.16
Dean Wade	18	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-4	5	15.5	15.4	0.10	12.6	15.4	-2.82
Isaac Okoro	59	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-6	9	14.6	16.8	-2.27	16.0	12.9	3.09
Evan Mobley	71	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-4	5	14.7	17.5	-2.78	15.6	12.8	2.76
Lamar Stevens	32	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	3	-9	16.7	14.8	1.96	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Lauri Markkanen	60	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	8	-19	16.6	13.4	3.20	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Kevin Love	59	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-5	7	14.6	16.8	-2.23	16.0	13.3	2.72
Jarrett Allen	74	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	15.7	14.5	1.21	14.2	17.8	-3.62
Kevin Pangos	46	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	11	-25	17.2	13.8	3.36	15.0	14.8	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.34,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.1%
NOP 121, HOU 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.6%
POR 100, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.1,0.03,0,0.01,0	92.1%