inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 104 Excitement6.3 [546] MVPO.J. Mayo (MEM): +26.2%
New Jersey Nets 94 Comeback7.9 [335] LVPDevin Harris (NJN): -19.4%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0.260,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.160.130.031473%0.291-0.025100%0.01
Rudy Gay0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.150.130.030.012164%0.192-0.03367%-0.00
Zach Randolph0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.040.021455%0.091-0.03580%0.02
Marc Gasol0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.011353%0.082-0.054100%0.02
Marcus Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.03-0.01527%0.031-0.031100%0.01
Hamed Haddadi-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Sam Young-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.020.00633%-0.053-0.0600%0.00
Mike Conley-0.190,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.13-0.060.001231%-0.103-0.09250%-0.00

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yi Jianlian0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.030.03975%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.11-0.020.031476%0.164-0.11667%-0.01
Josh Boone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01757%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01430%-0.041-0.02250%-0.02
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.080.00-0.011637%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Terrence Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.001030%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.01633%-0.043-0.07367%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.18-0.05-0.041742%-0.008-0.19650%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.829.516.623.91.832.5132.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +28.5%
MEM +10.4%
NJN -0.5%
MEM +11.3%
MEM +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMNJNNBAMEMNJNNBA
this game14.816.015.3111.8100.0106.0
season15.415.9106.898.7
opponent15.015.0108.3108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM13.414.414.717.114.8
NJN16.115.017.315.616.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zach Randolph69700.490.010.480.1113-31614.815.1-0.3316.215.40.78
O.J. Mayo77800.480.020.460.0415-52015.113.41.6914.822.3-7.44
Marcus Williams33320.460.040.420.2382614.814.9-0.1317.215.31.91
Rudy Gay75760.460.040.420.1411-11214.715.6-0.8916.513.82.70
Marc Gasol81830.340.160.170.0111-11215.510.74.7915.221.5-6.33
Hamed Haddadi28280.260.240.030.1837-413.915.2-1.3016.015.90.06
Sam Young36340.100.40-0.300.22-414-1815.014.80.2216.915.41.40
Mike Conley60620.040.46-0.42-0.0228-614.914.80.1315.317.2-1.91
Hasheem Thabeet22-0.040.54-0.580.05-313-164.015.1-11.0838.515.523.03
Darrell Arthur43-0.090.59-0.680.08-616-2212.015.0-2.9722.715.76.93

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarvis Hayes45450.11-0.610.72-0.035-152016.015.90.0414.215.5-1.28
Kris Humphries3534-0.00-0.500.49-0.279-192815.616.2-0.6214.615.0-0.35
Devin Harris8079-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-111215.518.4-2.9015.411.63.76
Josh Boone3637-0.22-0.280.060.10-111-1215.716.1-0.3415.414.50.94
Yi Jianlian4242-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-122-1416.016.0-0.0114.814.9-0.10
Brook Lopez7473-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.37-4-6216.414.12.3014.715.4-0.72
Courtney Lee7673-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.11-133-1616.513.62.9014.715.4-0.78
Terrence Williams3737-0.510.01-0.53-0.13-133-1615.716.1-0.4614.914.80.13
Keyon Dooling4545-0.560.06-0.62-0.21-122-1415.716.2-0.5614.715.0-0.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.34,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 97, WAS 890.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,091.7%
LAC 97, CHI 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,091.7%
LAL 107, DAL 970.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.41,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,091.6%