NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	5.7 [723]		MVP	Marko Jaric (LAC): +19.4%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	21.7 [20]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -14.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marko Jaric	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.11	-0.03	12	63%	0.23	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	1	83%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.03
Chris Wilcox	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	12	38%	-0.09	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	7	77%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	20	44%	-0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	14	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	9	54%	-0.03	4	-0.09	6	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.8	33.3	15.0	27.1	2.4	41.3	146.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +24.4%

LAC +22.5%

LAC +0.7%

LAC +3.4%

CHI -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.5	102.1	102.1	104.0
season	16.0	15.1		103.0	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		98.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.9	15.1	15.0	15.8	15.5
CHI	14.7	15.5	16.3	13.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	79	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-8	17	14.8	18.6	-3.71	15.1	14.7	0.41
Mikki Moore	47	46	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-7	15	14.5	16.4	-1.95	14.0	16.0	-2.00
Quinton Ross	40	39	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	0	1	15.1	15.7	-0.60	15.0	15.0	0.04
Bobby Simmons	63	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	-3	7	15.6	15.2	0.43	15.3	14.4	0.96
Chris Wilcox	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.48	-5	6	-11	17.0	12.1	4.98	15.8	13.3	2.50
Elton Brand	74	74	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	-1	3	15.5	15.4	0.06	15.5	13.0	2.54
Corey Maggette	74	75	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	-3	7	15.5	15.4	0.06	15.4	13.6	1.78
Rick Brunson	10	10	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	7	-13	9.7	16.2	-6.45	7.5	15.9	-8.39
Shaun Livingston	23	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.25	-12	13	-25	17.8	14.7	3.10	14.0	15.3	-1.32

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	40	41	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.13	7	-8	15	15.7	14.4	1.31	13.9	16.7	-2.76
Adrian Griffin	4	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	4	-9	15.0	15.0	-0.00	13.0	15.6	-2.61
Antonio Davis	26	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	1	-3	13.7	15.5	-1.75	16.0	15.3	0.75
Tyson Chandler	73	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-5	9	15.9	12.0	3.92	16.2	13.5	2.77
Kirk Hinrich	67	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	0	-1	15.6	13.5	2.13	15.4	15.6	-0.14
Chris Duhon	27	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	1	-3	13.5	15.6	-2.13	15.1	15.6	-0.53
Andres Nocioni	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	8	-17	15.2	14.8	0.38	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Eddy Curry	77	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-3	5	15.3	13.7	1.58	15.6	14.8	0.79
Ben Gordon	54	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.50	1	-2	3	14.1	16.2	-2.09	16.1	14.6	1.50
Luol Deng	54	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-1	1	14.2	16.1	-1.91	15.5	15.5	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 119, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%
LAC 112, NOP 103	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.33,0.52,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.13,0.06,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0	92.3%
SAC 92, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	92.3%