NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	134		Excitement	3.2 [925]		MVP	DaQuan Jeffries (CHA): +17.9%
Charlotte Hornets	102		Comeback	1.0 [943]		LVP	Josh Green (CHA): -6.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.03	10	68%	0.13	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.01	15	66%	0.11	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	12	81%	0.14	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Trae Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.03	0.09	20	70%	0.17	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Terance Mann	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	55%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.03	-0.04	12	79%	0.21	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.01	0.08	11	76%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	65%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damion Baugh	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	11	46%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Moussa Diabate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	0.06	8	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	13	37%	-0.05	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	27.3	15.6	26.4	2.5	27.6	125.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +36.1%

CHA -2.2%

ATL +5.8%

ATL +10.1%

ATL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.6	15.8	14.4	135.4	105.2	113.0
season	13.3	15.0		112.1	107.0
opponent	14.2	14.4		114.9	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	13.6	13.5	12.9	13.6
CHA	15.7	14.6	16.5	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	57	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.46	35	-3	38	12.9	14.5	-1.58	15.7	15.9	-0.22
Trae Young	65	65	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.39	32	0	32	12.5	15.8	-3.27	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Dyson Daniels	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.33	25	7	18	14.2	12.7	1.51	15.4	16.4	-0.95
Zaccharie Risacher	50	49	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.42	26	6	20	13.3	14.0	-0.72	15.7	15.9	-0.28
Mouhamed Gueye	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.28	21	11	10	13.6	13.7	-0.09	16.0	15.6	0.37
Vit Krejci	61	58	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	27	-22	14.3	12.6	1.73	15.7	15.9	-0.26
Georges Niang	49	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	20	-8	13.6	13.6	0.03	15.9	15.7	0.23
Terance Mann	43	43	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	31	-30	14.7	12.8	1.91	16.0	15.6	0.45
Garrison Mathews	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	26	-20	12.1	14.0	-1.87	17.1	15.4	1.71
Dominick Barlow	42	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	35	-38	14.5	12.9	1.58	15.9	15.7	0.22

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Smith Jr.	51	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-34	36	16.0	15.5	0.52	14.0	13.2	0.84
Jusuf Nurkic	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-26	20	16.8	15.3	1.47	13.6	13.6	-0.02
Moussa Diabate	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-25	18	15.4	16.0	-0.54	14.3	13.2	1.04
Marcus Garrett	47	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.27	-14	-18	4	15.6	16.0	-0.34	14.1	13.1	1.04
Wendell Moore Jr.	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-24	16	16.3	15.4	0.91	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Damion Baugh	67	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.27	-20	-12	-8	15.7	16.0	-0.30	14.0	12.7	1.36
Mark Williams	48	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.37	-24	-8	-16	15.7	15.8	-0.09	13.6	13.7	-0.10
Seth Curry	55	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.42	-27	-5	-22	16.3	15.1	1.19	12.4	15.0	-2.62
Josh Green	43	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.28	-24	-8	-16	14.8	16.6	-1.72	13.9	13.4	0.50
DaQuan Jeffries	67	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.46	-32	0	-32	15.4	16.6	-1.17	13.1	14.9	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
POR 112, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DAL 104, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	95.6%