NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	3.4 [1141]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +13.5%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	1.1 [772]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -13.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	18	60%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.01	-0.04	11	64%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	64%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	15	59%	0.08	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	80%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Jenkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.00	0.00	7	93%	0.14	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.18	-0.00	0.14	18	78%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	9	58%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	18	41%	-0.01	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	3.4	26.4	16.5	27.5	2.5	33.5	131.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +29.2%

DAL +3.6%

DAL +0.4%

DAL +15.8%

DAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	14.9	110.6	103.2	105.1
season	15.5	15.6		105.0	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.7		106.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	16.8	16.6	16.9	16.1
NYK	15.5	13.2	15.4	13.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	67	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.01	20	-13	33	16.0	16.6	-0.67	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Raymond Felton	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-9	25	15.5	17.9	-2.40	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Wesley Matthews	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	2	3	16.6	15.2	1.36	14.7	13.9	0.80
Zaza Pachulia	59	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-2	11	16.2	16.0	0.24	14.9	13.7	1.22
Deron Williams	64	66	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.27	-2	9	-11	16.7	15.0	1.69	15.0	13.2	1.82
John Jenkins	26	24	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	1	5	15.0	16.6	-1.64	13.4	14.9	-1.44
JaVale McGee	16	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	1	5	15.2	16.3	-1.08	11.6	15.0	-3.34
Chandler Parsons	47	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.33	-6	13	-19	16.6	15.7	0.94	14.5	14.5	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	7	7	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	6	-5	17.7	16.0	1.69	16.4	14.3	2.10
Jeremy Evans	15	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	13	-19	15.7	16.2	-0.57	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Dwight Powell	36	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.33	-14	21	-35	16.4	16.0	0.48	15.2	14.1	1.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	22	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-7	7	13.8	14.7	-0.88	15.5	16.4	-0.83
Derrick Williams	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-5	3	13.4	14.8	-1.32	17.7	15.7	2.02
Robin Lopez	33	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-1	-5	15.8	13.8	1.95	15.4	16.5	-1.18
Lance Thomas	53	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-12	17	13.6	15.7	-2.07	16.3	15.9	0.39
Kevin Seraphin	30	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	1	-9	14.5	14.5	0.02	15.6	16.4	-0.75
Kristaps Porzingis	68	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-5	3	14.7	13.9	0.84	16.7	14.9	1.82
Jose Calderon	68	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-5	3	14.7	13.9	0.84	16.7	14.9	1.82
Langston Galloway	41	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	0	-7	14.1	14.8	-0.65	16.5	15.9	0.58
Arron Afflalo	61	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	1	-9	14.6	14.4	0.19	15.5	17.2	-1.72
Carmelo Anthony	74	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	14.8	13.4	1.32	15.7	17.7	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 121, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
POR 110, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
ATL 125, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%