NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	111		Excitement	6.1 [581]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (CHI): +18.4%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	1.4 [764]		LVP	Cody Williams (UTA): -16.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	-0.00	11	77%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.03	13	65%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.06	0.03	10	86%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Coby White	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.05	-0.04	19	58%	0.19	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Dalen Terry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.02	-0.02	10	23%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Collins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.03	0.03	15	31%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	7	81%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	76%	0.16	4	-0.10	7	100%	0.04
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	11	30%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	16	48%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	56%	0.09	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	10	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	8	28%	-0.06	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	26.2	14.6	26.3	1.8	27.0	123.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.3%

UTA -5.8%

CHI +9.3%

CHI +22.5%

CHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	13.0	14.1	14.4	104.7	91.5	113.1
season	13.2	14.8		112.4	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.5		119.0	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.2	13.8	13.1	14.2	13.0
UTA	14.9	12.9	14.1	14.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	78	78	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.02	23	-9	32	13.2	12.6	0.55	14.6	12.9	1.62
Matas Buzelis	65	64	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-6	26	13.7	12.0	1.71	14.3	13.9	0.44
Nikola Vucevic	68	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-3	20	13.5	12.3	1.18	14.0	14.3	-0.25
Coby White	78	78	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	-2	18	13.4	12.0	1.42	13.9	14.8	-0.90
Tre Jones	74	73	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	8	-2	13.1	12.9	0.25	14.7	12.9	1.72
Patrick Williams	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	13	-12	12.5	13.5	-1.01	13.8	14.4	-0.56
Julian Phillips	36	38	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	12	-10	12.0	13.6	-1.63	13.7	14.4	-0.68
Zach Collins	38	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	17	-20	12.3	13.5	-1.18	14.3	14.0	0.25
Dalen Terry	34	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	21	-28	11.8	13.6	-1.80	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Talen Horton-Tucker	14	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	19	-24	14.3	12.9	1.43	12.2	14.4	-2.16

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Sensabaugh	44	45	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-20	26	13.9	14.3	-0.40	13.4	12.8	0.69
Micah Potter	53	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-15	16	14.2	14.1	0.13	11.9	14.2	-2.32
Jordan Clarkson	49	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-17	20	13.8	14.4	-0.68	12.7	13.4	-0.69
Kyle Filipowski	54	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-9	4	13.6	14.7	-1.04	13.2	12.9	0.32
Cody Williams	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-7	0	13.8	14.6	-0.87	13.3	12.8	0.51
Keyonte George	60	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-7	0	13.9	14.3	-0.40	13.4	12.6	0.89
Walker Kessler	65	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-5	-4	14.2	14.0	0.28	13.8	11.8	2.02
Isaiah Collier	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	3	-20	14.4	13.8	0.68	13.4	12.7	0.69
Lauri Markkanen	53	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	3	-20	14.5	13.7	0.85	12.7	13.4	-0.70
Johnny Juzang	34	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	4	-22	15.2	13.6	1.64	12.1	13.5	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.23,0.21,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 121, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.2%
LAC 113, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.7%
UTA 99, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0	93.3%