NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	121		Excitement	5.3 [727]		MVP	Maurice Evans (ORL): +20.6%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	1.8 [533]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -11.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.22	0.03	0.05	16	82%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	7	100%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	9	85%	0.17	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.03	6	79%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Augustine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.01	0.06	5	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	8	71%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	55%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	9	40%	0.05	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	12	42%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.6	32.0	17.8	22.2	2.5	27.6	131.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +41.4%

ATL -3.3%

ATL -10.0%

ORL +19.2%

ORL +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	15.4	122.2	106.1	105.7
season	15.1	15.4		109.9	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.6		107.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.6	16.1	14.2	14.2	14.5
ATL	15.2	12.2	17.1	14.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	74	72	0.82	-0.32	1.14	-0.12	32	-16	48	13.8	16.5	-2.64	15.7	11.6	4.06
Jameer Nelson	44	44	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.04	22	-6	28	14.0	14.9	-0.91	15.7	13.7	2.01
Dwight Howard	60	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	0	16	14.4	14.6	-0.14	15.1	13.8	1.26
Rashard Lewis	63	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	2	12	14.4	14.6	-0.17	14.9	14.0	0.95
Hedo Turkoglu	59	60	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	12	-8	15.0	13.7	1.31	14.8	14.3	0.50
JJ Redick	26	25	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	9	-2	14.2	14.6	-0.48	14.1	14.8	-0.68
Keith Bogans	21	21	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	14	-12	13.2	14.8	-1.61	16.0	14.2	1.86
Pat Garrity	23	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	12	-8	14.0	14.7	-0.66	13.7	14.9	-1.16
Adonal Foyle	39	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	16	-16	14.6	14.4	0.14	13.8	15.1	-1.26
Keyon Dooling	55	55	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	22	-28	14.9	14.0	0.91	13.7	15.7	-2.01
James Augustine	9	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	23	-30	17.3	14.2	3.11	9.3	15.2	-5.88
Carlos Arroyo	22	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	24	-32	16.5	13.9	2.56	12.0	15.3	-3.38

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	36	35	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.02	8	-24	32	12.4	15.8	-3.41	15.1	14.2	0.85
Salim Stoudamire	58	58	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-21	26	13.7	15.8	-2.08	14.7	14.3	0.40
Zaza Pachulia	40	39	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-22	28	14.5	14.6	-0.06	14.7	14.4	0.27
Solomon Jones	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	9.2	14.9	-5.77	13.7	14.6	-0.85
Jeremy Richardson	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	9.2	14.9	-5.77	13.7	14.6	-0.85
Mario West	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	9.2	14.9	-5.77	13.7	14.6	-0.85
Josh Childress	71	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-15	14	14.7	14.2	0.52	14.6	14.3	0.29
Marvin Williams	71	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-7	-2	15.3	12.8	2.46	14.7	14.0	0.75
Al Horford	53	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	5	-26	15.2	13.8	1.38	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Mike Bibby	34	35	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.05	-22	6	-28	16.4	13.6	2.74	14.1	14.7	-0.56
Joe Johnson	48	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.02	-21	5	-26	16.1	13.1	3.03	13.9	15.1	-1.26
Josh Smith	66	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.03	-22	6	-28	14.5	14.7	-0.12	14.6	14.4	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0	93.7%
HOU 83, NOH 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.7%
MEM 94, UTA 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%