inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 95 Excitement4.2 [977] MVPMikal Bridges (NYK): +16.0%
New York Knicks 116 Comeback3.6 [674] LVPHaywood Highsmith (MIA): -9.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Duncan Robinson0.100,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.180.000.071288%0.152-0.051100%0.00
Pelle Larsson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01267%-0.001-0.00250%-0.00
Kel'el Ware-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.010.03683%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Davion Mitchell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.041046%-0.003-0.026100%0.01
Kyle Anderson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.030.000.06654%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.021246%0.044-0.082100%0.01
Tyler Herro-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.060.021856%0.042-0.0800%0.00
Terry Rozier-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.03-0.02837%-0.033-0.0600%0.00
Haywood Highsmith-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.01520%-0.042-0.0500%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mikal Bridges0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.190.030.061487%0.223-0.064100%0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.001768%0.143-0.0600%0.00
Josh Hart0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.02967%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Precious Achiuwa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Mitchell Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.05771%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyler Kolek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pacome Dadiet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Miles McBride0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.02-0.021242%-0.0000.0000%0.00
OG Anunoby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.041332%-0.011-0.032100%0.02
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.01844%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Landry Shamet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.000.07950%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.63.427.615.635.03.630.5139.3
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +25.6%
NYK +0.4%
NYK +4.7%
NYK +19.3%
NYK +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game13.715.814.496.9119.6113.0
season15.015.3111.5116.0
opponent14.214.6112.9112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.213.014.013.713.7
NYK17.913.215.417.615.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pelle Larsson2726-0.04-0.460.420.11-5-161113.613.8-0.2217.215.31.91
Haywood Highsmith5555-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-242713.813.60.2016.015.60.34
Jaime Jaquez Jr.6262-0.20-0.300.10-0.17-1-201913.913.40.4315.616.2-0.62
Kyle Anderson3233-0.21-0.290.080.11-11-10-112.314.4-2.0417.415.02.32
Tyler Herro6262-0.21-0.290.080.05-9-12313.514.0-0.5015.716.1-0.44
Bam Adebayo6869-0.24-0.260.02-0.10-5-161114.212.71.5115.915.60.32
Terry Rozier1312-0.29-0.21-0.070.15-15-6-914.513.60.9513.316.2-2.85
Davion Mitchell7270-0.32-0.18-0.130.24-19-2-1713.215.0-1.8016.115.10.95
Kel'el Ware4340-0.44-0.06-0.380.35-276-3313.513.9-0.3214.316.9-2.61
Duncan Robinson5656-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.00-16-5-1114.512.61.8815.716.0-0.20

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Hart61610.66-0.160.81-0.2531-104114.917.5-2.6014.113.01.15
Karl-Anthony Towns61640.400.100.30-0.071651116.015.60.4414.212.91.27
Cameron Payne38380.270.230.04-0.08129315.616.0-0.3313.513.9-0.39
Mikal Bridges63650.240.26-0.02-0.11129316.514.52.0113.414.2-0.80
Miles McBride59600.230.27-0.04-0.03912-316.015.60.3313.913.50.39
Landry Shamet50510.220.28-0.05-0.19147716.315.30.9613.014.5-1.49
Precious Achiuwa23230.180.32-0.14-0.111011-113.516.6-3.0313.213.9-0.71
OG Anunoby64630.170.33-0.160.20-122-2316.115.30.7614.312.71.60
Mitchell Robinson48470.130.37-0.25-0.11813-516.515.21.2313.114.2-1.09
Tyler Kolek660.000.50-0.500.06-223-2515.215.9-0.7113.813.70.13
Anton Watson660.000.50-0.500.06-223-2515.215.9-0.7113.813.70.13
Pacome Dadiet660.000.50-0.500.06-223-2515.215.9-0.7113.813.70.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.4,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.57,0.66,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 92, CHI 1180.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.8%
SAS 105, GSW 1220.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.8%
LAL 108, BOS 1300.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.6%