NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	5.1 [813]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +19.9%
Boston Celtics	130		Comeback	3.0 [540]		LVP	Talen Horton-Tucker (LAL): -13.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.11	0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	21	61%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	81%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	16	70%	0.16	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Malik Monk	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	2	117%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	13	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	6	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.04	0.04	26	63%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.02	0.03	13	71%	0.16	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	14	66%	0.14	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Romeo Langford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	3.4	30.5	14.7	26.6	2.8	34.2	142.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +6.3%

BOS +14.6%

BOS +26.1%

BOS +2.0%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	14.5	110.2	127.5	110.8
season	14.3	14.9		109.5	112.2
opponent	14.7	14.2		105.7	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.8	15.4	16.0	12.1	13.9
BOS	14.4	14.6	16.0	14.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-20	18	11.3	14.2	-2.93	15.3	14.8	0.50
Wayne Ellington	26	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-18	14	13.8	14.0	-0.11	15.0	14.8	0.19
Rajon Rondo	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.24	-10	-12	2	12.7	14.3	-1.67	14.1	15.1	-0.99
LeBron James	64	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-18	14	13.4	15.0	-1.64	15.0	14.5	0.59
Dwight Howard	20	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	-13	4	14.5	13.8	0.78	15.6	14.7	0.93
Talen Horton-Tucker	52	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-10	-2	14.6	13.2	1.46	15.2	14.4	0.76
Avery Bradley	51	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-15	8	13.9	13.9	0.03	15.9	13.6	2.25
Malik Monk	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	-2	-18	13.6	14.3	-0.67	14.0	15.9	-1.89
Anthony Davis	74	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-8	-6	14.0	13.7	0.24	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Carmelo Anthony	53	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-6	-10	14.8	12.9	1.92	14.0	15.9	-1.89
Russell Westbrook	63	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-10	-2	14.1	13.6	0.47	15.3	14.0	1.30

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	60	60	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	-5	32	14.7	15.0	-0.33	14.7	12.6	2.12
Romeo Langford	46	46	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	3	16	14.3	15.3	-0.96	14.3	13.6	0.71
Dennis Schroder	71	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	10	2	15.6	13.2	2.34	14.2	13.4	0.84
Enes Kanter	34	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.23	21	1	20	14.8	14.9	-0.09	14.4	13.7	0.65
Jayson Tatum	71	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	12	-2	15.0	14.5	0.44	14.0	13.9	0.09
Grant Williams	58	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	20	-18	15.4	14.1	1.38	14.0	13.8	0.24
Marcus Smart	65	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	15	-8	14.3	15.8	-1.55	13.5	14.8	-1.33
Al Horford	68	64	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	21	-20	14.9	14.8	0.09	13.7	14.4	-0.65
Payton Pritchard	19	18	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	17	-12	13.1	15.3	-2.21	13.2	14.1	-0.93
Juancho Hernangomez	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	15.3	14.8	0.53	10.9	14.2	-3.33
Aaron Nesmith	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	15.3	14.8	0.53	10.9	14.2	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
ATL 83, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SAC 89, DET 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%