NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	108		Excitement	9.7 [93]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (ORL): +30.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	6.1 [52]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -29.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.19,0.3	0.10	0.21	0.00	9	75%	0.33	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Anthony Black	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.13	0.01	7	85%	0.29	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Gary Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Paolo Banchero	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	22	44%	0.08	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	13	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Caleb Houstan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tristan da Silva	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.24,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	19	50%	0.16	7	-0.26	6	83%	0.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.31,0.26	0.26	0.04	0.23	0.01	8	56%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	11	71%	0.16	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.11	4	25%	-0.05
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	16	56%	0.10	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	11	35%	-0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19,-0.3	-0.30	-0.10	-0.22	-0.03	28	40%	-0.07	3	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	32.0	0.2	33.1	3.4	29.5	128.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +25.6%

ORL +38.8%

CLE -17.0%

ORL +4.8%

CLE -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.0	14.6	14.4	105.9	103.0	113.1
season	15.4	13.7		108.6	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.4		110.9	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.9	15.0	12.6	14.5	14.0
CLE	12.7	14.4	13.6	18.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	45	43	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-12	29	12.5	15.1	-2.55	15.7	13.7	1.91
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	63	62	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.49	7	-2	9	14.5	13.1	1.43	14.0	15.5	-1.56
Wendell Carter Jr.	74	72	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	0	5	14.6	12.4	2.16	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Paolo Banchero	80	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	2	1	14.3	12.6	1.75	14.7	14.1	0.56
Franz Wagner	78	77	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	6	-7	13.6	15.2	-1.69	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Anthony Black	46	45	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.17	9	-4	13	14.3	13.7	0.59	15.8	13.6	2.21
Goga Bitadze	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	2	1	10.5	14.6	-4.10	15.7	14.4	1.38
Caleb Houstan	15	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	7	-9	12.5	14.2	-1.67	15.4	14.4	0.93
Jonathan Isaac	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	8	-11	14.6	13.9	0.75	16.0	14.3	1.66
Tristan da Silva	19	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	7	-9	11.7	14.5	-2.73	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Cory Joseph	48	49	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	15.6	12.5	3.18	13.6	15.5	-1.90
Cole Anthony	14	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	12	-19	13.9	14.0	-0.12	13.3	14.8	-1.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	26	24	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-8	11	14.8	14.5	0.33	12.2	14.5	-2.35
Sam Merrill	41	42	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-5	5	15.3	14.0	1.28	12.7	14.8	-2.08
Dean Wade	46	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.3	13.9	1.42	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Isaac Okoro	15	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	8	-21	16.3	14.3	2.01	14.4	13.9	0.57
Donovan Mitchell	74	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-8	11	14.6	14.6	-0.02	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Max Strus	55	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	13.9	15.4	-1.49	14.4	13.4	1.04
Ty Jerome	52	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	4	-13	15.3	13.7	1.56	13.3	14.7	-1.49
Jarrett Allen	65	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	14.0	15.6	-1.64	14.9	12.1	2.81
Darius Garland	67	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.52	1	-6	7	14.1	15.5	-1.43	14.3	13.2	1.11
De'Andre Hunter	59	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	0	-5	14.0	15.3	-1.28	14.8	12.7	2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.44,0.54,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.68,0.58,0	90.3%
SAS 84, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.68,0.74,0	89.8%
MIA 92, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.84,0.27,0	89.4%