NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	8.2 [175]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +24.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	8.9 [72]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (PHI): -20.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.12	-0.00	18	73%	0.29	3	-0.05	20	75%	-0.03
Danny Manning	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.21	0.06	0.15	0.00	11	62%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
David Benoit	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	78%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0	-0.11	0.09	-0.02	7	41%	0.08	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Olden Polynice	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	7	44%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	1	0%	-0.05	5	-0.13	1	0%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	5	72%	0.08	1	-0.01	8	87%	-0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.08
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	34	52%	0.06	6	-0.13	18	83%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	7	31%	-0.04	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	10	32%	-0.19	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.8	33.2	19.7	27.1	2.7	38.2	153.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.2%

UTA +8.4%

UTA +10.8%

PHI -7.3%

UTA +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	14.4	15.5	96.8	94.7	100.9
season	16.0	15.7		105.3	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.5		97.1	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	15.2	13.4	19.9	16.3
PHI	12.0	14.2	15.4	16.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	59	59	1.06	-0.56	1.63	0.27	27	-25	52	15.5	17.5	-2.02	15.1	13.1	1.94
Danny Manning	28	29	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.53	8	-6	14	18.9	15.2	3.73	15.7	13.8	1.87
John Stockton	67	67	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.49	9	-7	16	17.1	14.2	2.88	15.0	12.7	2.38
Karl Malone	85	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	1	0	16.2	17.1	-0.92	14.4	14.4	-0.09
Bryon Russell	69	68	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.50	-13	15	-28	17.1	14.0	3.05	14.3	14.5	-0.19
Greg Ostertag	28	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.13	3	-1	4	15.0	16.8	-1.87	14.7	14.2	0.45
David Benoit	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	4	-6	11.7	16.6	-4.93	12.3	14.5	-2.24
DeShawn Stevenson	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	4	-6	16.7	16.2	0.43	13.0	14.5	-1.52
John Starks	51	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	10	-18	16.0	16.6	-0.65	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Olden Polynice	40	39	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	8	-14	16.3	16.2	0.13	13.6	14.9	-1.36
Jacque Vaughn	27	27	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.05	-7	9	-16	14.2	17.1	-2.88	12.7	15.0	-2.38

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	29	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.13	-5	3	-8	14.5	14.3	0.22	13.5	17.4	-3.90
Pepe Sanchez	1	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	2	-6	15.0	14.4	0.65	14.0	16.4	-2.35
George Lynch	43	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-4	6	14.1	14.5	-0.41	17.1	15.6	1.50
Toni Kukoc	68	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-5	8	14.1	15.1	-1.04	15.5	18.3	-2.83
Matt Geiger	25	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	10	-22	15.9	13.8	2.12	14.5	16.9	-2.39
Vernon Maxwell	22	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	5	-12	14.5	14.3	0.12	14.8	16.8	-1.98
Aaron McKie	75	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.44	6	-8	14	14.2	15.1	-0.87	16.5	15.2	1.34
Theo Ratliff	55	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.57	5	-7	12	13.7	15.3	-1.57	18.1	13.7	4.40
Allen Iverson	93	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.50	2	-4	6	14.4	15.0	-0.65	16.4	14.0	2.35
Tyrone Hill	59	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.63	0	-2	2	14.9	13.4	1.49	17.2	14.7	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.68,0.74,0	90.1%
TOR 98, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.77,0	89.9%
SAC 94, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.42,0	89.8%