NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	115		Excitement	7.6 [373]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAS): +24.6%
San Antonio Spurs	119		Comeback	3.3 [288]		LVP	Blake Wesley (SAS): -9.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Brown	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.02	13	68%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mo Bamba	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trey Murphy III	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	16	59%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
CJ McCollum	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.01	22	58%	0.11	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Reeves	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Karlo Matkovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.11	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.17	0.08	0.00	9	86%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Devin Vassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.10	-0.02	17	54%	0.21	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	12	70%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	74%	0.19	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	45%	0.01	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.05
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	28.6	15.4	31.1	0.6	35.4	138.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +14.5%

SAS +14.9%

NOP -4.9%

SAS +21.2%

SAS +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.3	14.4	113.9	119.0	113.1
season	14.4	14.2		109.3	113.0
opponent	14.5	14.3		115.6	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.8	13.2	15.1	14.5	14.4
SAS	12.4	13.0	14.3	18.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	72	70	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.26	16	-20	36	13.7	15.9	-2.21	14.8	13.0	1.81
Kelly Olynyk	66	65	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.30	16	-20	36	13.4	16.1	-2.69	14.8	13.5	1.30
Antonio Reeves	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	2	-8	13.6	14.5	-0.85	13.9	14.4	-0.43
Bruce Brown	66	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-7	10	14.4	14.3	0.02	15.5	12.1	3.40
Karlo Matkovic	57	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-6	8	14.1	14.7	-0.54	16.0	12.3	3.66
Mo Bamba	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	4	-12	16.0	13.8	2.24	13.2	14.7	-1.44
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	33	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	3	-10	14.6	14.2	0.33	12.2	15.4	-3.22
Jose Alvarado	56	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	4	-12	15.2	13.2	2.01	13.5	15.4	-1.96
Trey Murphy III	78	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.38	-6	2	-8	14.1	15.3	-1.28	14.2	14.6	-0.43
Jordan Hawkins	39	39	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.07	-22	18	-40	15.7	13.5	2.22	12.4	15.5	-3.10

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Champagnie	52	54	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.23	22	-18	40	13.3	15.4	-2.07	14.7	13.9	0.79
Jeremy Sochan	64	65	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-7	18	14.1	14.6	-0.49	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Keldon Johnson	60	61	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-3	10	14.0	14.7	-0.75	14.6	13.9	0.71
Devin Vassell	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-2	8	14.2	14.5	-0.24	13.9	15.7	-1.76
Blake Wesley	22	21	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-8	20	12.5	14.8	-2.37	15.5	14.0	1.47
Sandro Mamukelashvili	25	25	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	-2	8	14.7	14.2	0.56	15.1	14.1	1.01
Harrison Barnes	55	55	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	1	2	14.6	13.9	0.71	15.1	13.5	1.61
Bismack Biyombo	27	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.02	-7	11	-18	14.4	14.3	0.10	14.3	14.4	-0.13
Stephon Castle	73	74	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.39	-24	28	-52	15.5	10.9	4.62	14.1	15.2	-1.13
Chris Paul	47	47	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	0.06	-16	20	-36	14.4	14.2	0.20	13.7	15.0	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.41,0.7,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 110, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.67,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.99,1	91.5%
LAL 83, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.86,0.99,1	91.4%
NYK 107, LAL 127	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	90.9%