NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	114		Excitement	8.7 [190]		MVP	Jalen Green (HOU): +23.8%
Houston Rockets	117		Comeback	3.5 [640]		LVP	Zach Collins (CHI): -10.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Williams	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.00	5	83%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.12	0.03	-0.00	10	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.00	5	110%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.02	0.03	13	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Phillips	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	6	53%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Jalen Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	21	46%	-0.00	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Matas Buzelis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.14	-0.02	25	54%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	3	87%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Fred VanVleet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	20	52%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	18	55%	0.13	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	27.3	14.3	31.7	1.6	35.7	136.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +9.2%

CHI -8.6%

HOU +52.7%

CHI -4.3%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	HOU	NBA	CHI	HOU	NBA
this game	13.0	14.7	14.4	108.6	113.6	113.1
season	13.2	14.7		112.4	114.2
opponent	14.2	14.5		109.6	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.4	12.4	13.6	12.6	13.0
HOU	14.3	14.3	14.2	16.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Phillips	39	40	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.00	11	-14	25	12.9	13.0	-0.09	15.7	14.1	1.67
Dalen Terry	26	28	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.01	6	-9	15	11.8	13.4	-1.56	16.3	14.1	2.19
Jalen Smith	28	27	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-6	9	12.2	13.3	-1.09	13.7	15.1	-1.39
Matas Buzelis	44	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	4	-11	12.8	13.1	-0.24	14.3	15.0	-0.79
Zach Collins	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-2	1	12.7	13.2	-0.49	15.3	14.4	0.94
Nikola Vucevic	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-1	-1	13.2	12.7	0.49	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Coby White	86	85	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-8	13	12.6	14.9	-2.34	14.5	15.8	-1.27
Patrick Williams	49	48	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	3	-9	13.5	12.5	0.99	14.8	14.7	0.12
Kevin Huerter	73	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	4	-11	13.3	12.3	0.92	14.6	15.0	-0.34
Tre Jones	75	69	-0.94	0.44	-1.37	-0.44	-17	14	-31	13.7	11.3	2.40	14.5	15.3	-0.80

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith Jr.	73	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-4	11	13.9	16.8	-2.97	12.2	15.0	-2.83
Alperen Sengun	85	89	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	-4	11	15.0	13.6	1.42	13.4	10.6	2.85
Steven Adams	48	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	0	3	15.5	14.1	1.45	12.7	13.2	-0.54
Jalen Green	82	84	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	-1	5	14.7	14.8	-0.10	13.1	12.7	0.39
Aaron Holiday	28	29	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	-2	7	13.3	15.3	-1.93	12.8	13.0	-0.21
Fred VanVleet	75	77	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	5	-7	14.7	14.8	-0.08	12.9	13.2	-0.32
Dillon Brooks	70	70	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	8	-13	15.2	13.8	1.38	13.2	12.5	0.70
Jeff Green	20	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	7	-11	16.0	14.4	1.64	14.4	12.6	1.75
Jae'Sean Tate	41	41	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	8	-13	15.2	14.4	0.86	13.0	13.0	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.51,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.47,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 103, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.96,1	92.4%
ORL 95, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.3%
UTA 96, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.84,1	92.3%