inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 113 Excitement6.7 [516] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +49.8%
Detroit Pistons 107 Comeback2.7 [625] LVPCade Cunningham (DET): -20.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.500,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.50.320.210.032677%0.562-0.0610100%0.05
Cason Wallace0.070,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.070.060.010.001567%0.123-0.0500%0.00
Isaiah Joe0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02-0.000.01-0.011342%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00956%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adam Flagler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.000,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.03658%0.053-0.0500%0.00
Dillon Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.070.010.01955%0.075-0.14450%-0.06
Jaylin Williams-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.04514%-0.071-0.01450%-0.01
Alex Caruso-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.01425%-0.062-0.08475%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.150.150.110.04-0.001264%0.1500.004100%0.03
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.10.100.11-0.02-0.011265%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.05-0.001055%0.1000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.014112%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.011168%0.114-0.0900%0.00
Simone Fontecchio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronald Holland II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00475%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Jalen Duren0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01650%0.043-0.09450%-0.01
Ausar Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.060.01750%-0.023-0.09250%-0.03
Cade Cunningham0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.15-0.050.001830%-0.163-0.051100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.730.625.634.41.834.3153.6
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +24.1%
OKC +3.1%
OKC +17.6%
DET -3.1%
OKC +8.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDETNBAOKCDETNBA
this game14.712.814.4107.6101.9113.1
season13.714.1117.9113.7
opponent14.514.7111.9105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.113.614.316.914.7
DET12.613.113.311.912.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander82830.78-0.281.060.2518-123014.515.4-0.9712.812.50.38
Luguentz Dort58580.75-0.250.99-0.0226-204614.315.2-0.9313.312.11.17
Kenrich Williams67670.72-0.220.940.3712-61815.413.32.0913.611.22.42
Cason Wallace78790.300.200.110.2715-415.312.82.5112.712.8-0.12
Jaylin Williams40390.270.230.030.067-1813.915.2-1.2912.113.1-1.03
Isaiah Hartenstein65660.230.27-0.030.26-17-815.213.91.2913.112.11.03
Isaiah Joe73710.200.30-0.090.35-511-1614.614.8-0.2012.413.4-1.02
Adam Flagler01-0.040.54-0.58-0.0406-60.014.7-14.680.012.9-12.87
Ousmane Dieng55-0.120.62-0.740.06-612-1815.214.60.556.613.1-6.46
Dillon Jones1010-0.130.63-0.750.02-511-1610.615.1-4.5113.812.61.16
Alex Caruso4746-0.470.97-1.440.03-1723-4014.315.0-0.6512.013.4-1.42

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Simone Fontecchio31310.27-0.771.04-0.1715-213610.513.7-3.1713.415.2-1.87
Dennis Schroder57580.19-0.690.88-0.4221-274811.813.8-1.9915.513.71.80
Isaiah Stewart44420.10-0.600.71-0.076-121811.113.9-2.7813.615.4-1.76
Ronald Holland II22230.02-0.520.54-0.042-81011.613.1-1.4714.114.8-0.75
Malik Beasley6161-0.01-0.490.48-0.3010-162611.814.1-2.3815.214.01.16
Ausar Thompson4242-0.36-0.14-0.210.11-1610-2614.611.53.1515.014.50.50
Tim Hardaway Jr.6968-0.580.08-0.65-0.25-115-1613.611.12.5415.213.71.46
Jalen Duren6061-0.600.10-0.70-0.16-159-2413.911.22.7915.114.11.05
Cade Cunningham6363-0.740.24-0.990.05-2721-4813.611.52.1714.315.2-0.82
Tobias Harris7676-0.800.30-1.10-0.36-159-2412.912.30.6114.315.8-1.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.3,0.06,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 102, WAS 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,091.8%
MIA 121, SAC 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.18,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.03,0.01,091.8%
GSW 114, NYK 1060.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.09,091.4%