inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 121 Excitement5.8 [644] MVPJaime Jaquez Jr. (MIA): +20.4%
Sacramento Kings 110 Comeback2.6 [170] LVPDuncan Robinson (MIA): -17.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0.200,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.20.130.090.021772%0.232-0.03250%-0.00
Kevin Love0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.02-0.00979%0.181-0.01683%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.130.02-0.01983%0.1600.0000%0.00
Delon Wright0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.110.050.02581%0.1400.00683%0.01
Caleb Martin0.050,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.011455%0.081-0.021100%0.01
Bam Adebayo0.050,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.050.06-0.000.011865%0.205-0.15786%0.02
Alondes Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cole Swider-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson-0.180,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18-0.17-0.05-0.041116%-0.142-0.03367%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keegan Murray0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.190.190.26-0.020.051493%0.221-0.032100%0.01
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.03383%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.010.04762%0.0300.002100%0.01
Domantas Sabonis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.01870%0.114-0.08425%-0.04
Chris Duarte0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.012456%0.147-0.1700%0.00
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.021544%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.011036%-0.031-0.0220%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.527.514.726.02.032.2128.1
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +7.2%
MIA +17.9%
MIA +9.8%
MIA +10.0%
MIA +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASACNBAMIASACNBA
this game16.613.014.5124.7112.2113.9
season14.914.0112.3115.6
opponent14.814.8113.6111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.117.715.719.216.6
SAC12.513.015.011.313.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duncan Robinson76780.69-0.190.89-0.0425-143916.616.50.1613.311.61.71
Caleb Martin81810.58-0.080.660.0518-72516.616.8-0.2613.211.91.23
Bam Adebayo74730.53-0.030.550.201101116.317.7-1.4412.913.0-0.05
Delon Wright73720.52-0.020.540.2692716.317.5-1.1412.913.1-0.16
Kevin Love30320.200.30-0.10-0.09101916.916.50.3912.913.0-0.08
Haywood Highsmith56570.110.39-0.280.17-213-1517.315.61.6713.112.80.22
Jaime Jaquez Jr.77780.100.40-0.290.25-516-2116.815.80.9413.012.70.26
Cole Swider1111-0.110.61-0.720.04-516-2114.516.9-2.3212.113.1-0.98
Alondes Williams78-0.130.63-0.760.05-617-2317.616.51.058.113.4-5.26

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duarte34310.09-0.590.670.032-131513.512.70.8717.916.01.87
Trey Lyles42410.08-0.580.66-0.189-202911.913.7-1.8017.815.72.09
Davion Mitchell1919-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-9713.112.90.1816.416.7-0.29
Malik Monk4442-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-154-1913.012.90.1615.717.3-1.60
Keegan Murray7272-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.20-6-5-113.112.50.6816.317.5-1.24
Kevin Huerter7677-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.36-1-10912.514.4-1.8717.214.13.08
De'Aaron Fox7978-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.13-9-2-712.913.1-0.1816.716.40.29
Harrison Barnes4343-0.48-0.02-0.450.05-187-2513.312.70.6115.017.9-2.95
Domantas Sabonis8182-0.660.16-0.83-0.22-154-1913.311.51.7316.517.0-0.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.18,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.03,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 112, NYK 1070.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,093.2%
LAL 118, BOS 1030.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,092.6%
HOU 120, UTA 1100.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,092.5%