NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	120		Excitement	5.6 [671]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +18.0%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	2.1 [405]		LVP	Georges Niang (UTA): -8.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.21	0.03	0.05	23	69%	0.25	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.03
Ben McLemore	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.02	4	150%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.02	26	61%	0.19	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.02	-0.03	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	11	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
P.J. Tucker	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	16	69%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	10	46%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Morgan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	15	41%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.09	24	56%	0.06	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	70%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	26.5	15.4	26.6	1.8	30.0	129.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +51.3%

UTA -11.9%

HOU +0.2%

HOU +10.2%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	14.2	117.6	107.8	109.6
season	13.4	14.9		111.2	112.1
opponent	14.2	14.4		109.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.4	13.8	13.6	15.5	13.8
UTA	15.3	13.3	14.6	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	76	77	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.01	24	-14	38	13.6	14.3	-0.68	15.5	11.2	4.23
P.J. Tucker	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	0	10	13.7	13.9	-0.19	15.5	11.9	3.59
Eric Gordon	53	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	0	10	13.1	14.6	-1.48	13.6	15.2	-1.57
Danuel House Jr.	51	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	5	0	14.4	13.2	1.18	15.6	13.3	2.30
Robert Covington	77	77	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	7	-4	14.0	13.2	0.85	14.9	13.0	1.95
Ben McLemore	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	5	0	13.2	14.0	-0.76	12.8	15.1	-2.29
Russell Westbrook	84	84	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.23	-2	12	-14	13.9	13.5	0.37	14.3	15.2	-0.89
Jeff Green	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	10	-10	13.9	13.7	0.19	11.9	15.5	-3.59
Austin Rivers	39	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	15	-20	14.2	13.6	0.61	12.5	15.6	-3.12

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Morgan	31	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-12	14	12.6	15.2	-2.61	14.8	13.4	1.46
Georges Niang	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-10	10	13.0	14.8	-1.88	14.3	13.7	0.66
Jordan Clarkson	59	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-10	10	13.5	15.7	-2.15	14.2	13.3	0.95
Joe Ingles	65	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-5	0	14.2	14.9	-0.68	13.6	14.2	-0.65
Royce O'Neale	42	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-6	2	14.2	14.6	-0.33	13.7	13.9	-0.17
Mike Conley	71	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	14.5	14.3	0.25	13.7	13.9	-0.18
Rudy Gobert	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	2	-14	15.4	12.4	3.01	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Bojan Bogdanovic	77	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	2	-14	15.0	12.6	2.43	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Donovan Mitchell	74	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	2	-14	15.1	12.7	2.37	13.6	14.2	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 123, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
BOS 95, MIN 78	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
CLE 106, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%