NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	5.9 [602]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (LAL): +15.7%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	2.5 [739]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): -20.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.02	14	80%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	11	52%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Darius Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.06	4	-0.08	8	50%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	29	42%	0.01	3	-0.06	13	85%	0.05
Devin Ebanks	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	77%	0.15	3	-0.07	12	75%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	74%	0.11	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.06	0.04	16	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	14	55%	0.06	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	17	32%	-0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	28.7	15.6	25.6	2.4	30.6	131.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.3%

LAL +4.2%

LAL +0.4%

LAL +17.2%

LAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	WAS	NBA	LAL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.9	15.4	106.2	101.1	104.1
season	14.9	15.1		106.0	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.9	15.0	14.5	19.5	15.3
WAS	15.4	17.0	13.2	13.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	88	86	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.23	17	-11	28	15.3	15.6	-0.36	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Metta World Peace	79	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-5	16	15.4	14.7	0.71	14.9	14.5	0.45
Darius Morris	28	28	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.06	15	-9	24	14.4	15.7	-1.32	16.2	14.3	1.92
Dwight Howard	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	5	-4	16.3	13.5	2.82	15.0	14.5	0.53
Chris Duhon	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	10	-14	16.3	13.6	2.78	14.6	15.3	-0.62
Jodie Meeks	59	60	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.32	-6	12	-18	15.4	15.1	0.25	14.8	14.9	-0.04
Robert Sacre	34	33	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	1	4	13.5	16.3	-2.82	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Devin Ebanks	55	55	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	8	-10	15.2	15.4	-0.26	14.7	15.0	-0.32
Antawn Jamison	15	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	13	-20	12.4	15.8	-3.43	13.6	15.1	-1.43

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	40	40	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-7	8	15.3	14.5	0.75	13.6	16.5	-2.90
Cartier Martin	63	64	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.36	9	-15	24	14.5	15.6	-1.05	15.5	14.8	0.77
Nene	46	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-9	12	15.0	14.8	0.18	14.3	16.2	-1.94
Emeka Okafor	35	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-3	0	14.6	15.0	-0.37	15.2	15.3	-0.16
Kevin Seraphin	72	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-8	10	14.5	16.0	-1.56	15.6	14.2	1.41
Chris Singleton	31	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	10	-26	16.8	13.9	2.84	14.4	15.7	-1.25
Jordan Crawford	69	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-5	4	15.0	14.5	0.45	16.2	12.8	3.35
Martell Webster	76	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.33	-6	0	-6	14.4	16.9	-2.54	15.6	14.2	1.35
Bradley Beal	43	44	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.11	-19	13	-32	15.0	14.7	0.29	15.7	14.9	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, ATL 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.1%
POR 109, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.8%
MIA 98, GSW 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	91.7%