NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	126		Excitement	9.9 [83]		MVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): +50.1%
Denver Nuggets	131		Comeback	6.2 [440]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (DEN): -13.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dalton Knecht	0.30	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.3	0.14	0.16	-0.00	27	57%	0.30	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Goodwin	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.16	-0.00	8	62%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.34,0.2	0.13	0.05	-0.01	26	63%	0.37	4	-0.17	7	100%	0.07
Alex Len	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.00	11	70%	0.11	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Christian Koloko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bronny James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cam Reddish	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	6	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Markieff Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Murray	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.5	0.50	0.15	0.34	-0.01	16	74%	0.68	2	-0.18	3	100%	0.01
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.09	0.01	10	100%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.11	0.02	6	77%	0.23	0	0.00	10	90%	0.06
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.09	0.03	16	57%	0.37	4	-0.24	17	71%	-0.02
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.04	-0.04	11	54%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Pickett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	16	53%	0.01	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	31.5	14.6	27.4	2.5	32.5	137.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +38.8%

DEN +36.2%

LAL -1.5%

LAL -23.6%

DEN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	16.1	12.1	14.4	123.5	128.4	113.1
season	14.9	14.0		114.3	118.4
opponent	14.6	14.2		114.7	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	18.4	16.4	15.5	16.1
DEN	11.7	11.1	13.1	12.6	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Koloko	42	40	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.01	13	-18	31	15.2	16.7	-1.58	13.2	11.5	1.71
Bronny James	32	33	0.34	-0.83	1.17	0.10	8	-13	21	15.8	16.2	-0.46	12.8	11.8	1.01
Shake Milton	59	60	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.09	10	-15	25	16.1	16.1	-0.03	12.1	12.2	-0.17
Alex Len	26	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	3	-11	15.3	16.4	-1.01	13.1	11.8	1.27
Cam Reddish	12	13	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	7	-19	19.9	15.6	4.33	12.7	12.1	0.64
Austin Reaves	86	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-5	5	15.5	19.1	-3.52	11.7	14.6	-2.95
Markieff Morris	50	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	0	-5	16.7	15.5	1.26	10.8	13.4	-2.59
Jordan Goodwin	72	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	3	-11	16.1	16.0	0.14	12.3	11.8	0.48
Dalton Knecht	79	78	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	5	-15	16.1	16.1	0.01	12.3	11.7	0.51
Jarred Vanderbilt	52	51	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	8	-21	16.8	15.4	1.41	12.0	12.3	-0.24

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	68	70	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.39	16	-11	27	11.6	13.2	-1.56	15.9	16.4	-0.49
Michael Porter Jr.	67	67	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.43	11	-6	17	13.3	10.0	3.25	16.1	16.0	0.11
Christian Braun	76	77	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.47	8	-3	11	11.7	13.3	-1.57	15.5	17.9	-2.41
Jamal Murray	82	83	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-1	7	12.5	10.7	1.73	16.4	14.9	1.41
Nikola Jokic	83	84	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.43	2	3	-1	11.8	13.7	-1.97	15.5	18.8	-3.25
Jalen Pickett	5	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	6	-7	9.6	12.3	-2.67	15.2	16.1	-0.94
Russell Westbrook	61	59	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.13	2	3	-1	11.6	12.9	-1.32	16.3	15.9	0.37
Zeke Nnaji	35	33	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.02	-11	16	-27	12.9	11.7	1.14	16.6	15.9	0.75
Peyton Watson	33	32	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.17	-8	13	-21	12.5	12.0	0.56	17.9	15.3	2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.19,0.22,0.47,0.55,0.77,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.47,0.36,0.55,0.27,1	91.2%
LAL 91, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.26,1	90.8%
MIN 91, PHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.67,0.58,1	90.5%