NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	8.3 [198]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +32.9%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	5.7 [248]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -71.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.09	-0.01	9	80%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	18	76%	0.25	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	2	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Brian Shaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	10	35%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.71	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.08,-0.09,-0.15,-0.13,-0.31,-0.71	-0.17	-0.54	-0.01	29	43%	-0.59	5	-0.12	11	73%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.33	0.33	0.04	0.28	-0.00	17	57%	0.36	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	10	59%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	23	53%	-0.05	4	-0.11	9	56%	-0.11
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.17	-0.03	10	43%	-0.08	2	-0.17	10	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	544.3	2.8	35.0	18.8	30.0	3.5	40.3	674.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +79.0%

LAL -15.0%

LAL -10.0%

LAL -1.0%

LAL -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.6	98.9	100.0	102.3
season	15.3	14.2		106.9	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	17.5	15.6	18.4	16.5
SAC	14.0	15.3	15.7	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	2	2	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-5	9	11.5	16.6	-5.07	18.5	14.8	3.73
Shaquille O'Neal	59	60	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-6	11	16.2	17.0	-0.85	15.7	13.2	2.55
Brian Shaw	7	6	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-5	9	14.7	16.6	-1.89	10.3	15.2	-4.83
Lindsey Hunter	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	2	-5	18.7	16.1	2.64	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Mitch Richmond	4	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	2	-5	17.5	16.4	1.09	24.2	14.3	9.89
Rick Fox	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.55	8	-9	17	16.1	17.5	-1.42	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Samaki Walker	36	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	8	-17	17.1	16.0	1.08	15.0	14.8	0.24
Derek Fisher	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.54	5	-6	11	16.0	18.4	-2.40	14.4	16.8	-2.42
Devean George	24	24	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	8	-17	17.4	16.1	1.30	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Kobe Bryant	85	86	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.45	-5	4	-9	16.6	14.7	1.89	15.2	10.3	4.83
Robert Horry	86	86	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.54	-2	1	-3	16.5	15.5	1.02	14.4	21.2	-6.76

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	39	36	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-5	11	15.2	14.6	0.53	16.6	16.4	0.21
Hedo Turkoglu	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.56	2	-1	3	15.0	14.4	0.61	16.4	16.7	-0.32
Mike Bibby	83	84	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.50	-4	5	-9	14.6	17.3	-2.76	16.5	15.9	0.64
Chris Webber	86	87	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.49	-5	6	-11	14.6	18.3	-3.73	16.6	14.8	1.75
Doug Christie	52	55	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	-12	25	15.1	14.5	0.62	16.6	16.2	0.45
Vlade Divac	72	73	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	4	-7	14.7	15.4	-0.77	16.1	17.9	-1.88
Scot Pollard	20	19	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	-3	7	17.0	14.2	2.75	17.9	16.1	1.88
Peja Stojakovic	39	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.21	-8	9	-17	14.2	15.3	-1.07	15.9	16.9	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.26,1	92.5%
CHI 78, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.53,0.36,0.22,0.09,1	91.7%
HOU 86, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.57,1	91.3%